UCLA Bruins Odds - Sports Betting: Sportsbook Sign Up
UCLA Bruins Odds - Sports Betting: Sportsbook Sign Up
UCLA vs USC Odds, Betting Line, Free Pick & Prediction
UCLA Football vs Texas A&M: Game Day Information - TV
UCLA Texas Spread, Line and Predictions Week 4 - The
UCLA vs Texas A&M preview, predictions, betting odds, live
CeeDee Lamb, WR, Oklahoma - Our newest Dallas Cowboy, in depth film study
Hey guys, I'm back with all-22 film study of our draft picks and I'm going to do it after every day and pick we make and possibly for our UDFA too after the draft. The information I'm going to give you, to the best of my ability are what games I watched and link to youtube cut ups of publicly available games, measurables and athletic testing (potentially incomplete because of COVID-19), my notes of the player that I took while watching him and a grade I gave him with a player comparison and finally with some all-22 film to show you what kind of player we're getting. 1.17 - CeeDee Lamb, WR, Oklahoma
Games watched vs UCLA (2018), vs TCU (2018), vs Texas Tech (2018), vs West Virginia (2018), vs Alabama (2018), vs Houston (2019), vs South Dakota (2019), vs UCLA (2019), vs Iowa State (2019), vs Baylor (2019), vs Kansas State (2019), vs LSU (2019)
You can find all the cut ups of the publicly available games here, credit to the guys that run the database https://docs.google.com/document/d/1T-K3H4rMaV6hYrIVFyIqEzXE8HIKTVW-jX2xlgL-Z7U/edit Measurables and athletic testing (Height, Weight, Hand size, Arm length, Wingspan, 40 yard time, 10 yard split, 20 yard split, Bench, Vertical jump, Broad jump, 3-cone drill, 20 yard shuttle, RAS, sparQ score) 6015, 198, 9 1/4", 32 1/4", 76 5/8, 4.50, 1.58, 2.62, 11, 34.5", 124", N/A, N/A, RAS of 7.44 - Good, 121.8 sparQ (70.5% of all NFL WRs)
Strengths: Yards after catch ability, electric playmaker, enough speed to create separation at the top of his route, explosive mover, extremely reliable hands and big catch radius, true #1 type at 6'2" 198 old school glass eating type of a WR, he will bully your CB, can play inside and outside, great downfield threat, great at the catch point, tracks the ball in flight well and adjusts to it accordingly, incredible ball skills, incredibly hard to bring down in open field, strong and breaks weak arm tackle attempts easily, improved in almost all areas from a good 2018, production improved, showed improvement in his route running from 2018, improved a lot with his releases off the LOS in 2019, lulls the defenders to sleep just to exploit them, understands leverage and how to attack the blind spot of the DB, showed additional craftiness in 2019 that he lacked in 2018, very good at running a stop route threatening with speed and dropping his hips to create separation, knows how to sell the fakes on the crossing routes which are his bread and butter with slowplaying it and then exploding, good and willing blocker in the run game, added value as a ST return player and can be used in the run game as well with jet sweeps and other creative plays. Weaknesses: Does not show a diverse route tree (Go routes, Crossers, Screens, Comebacks, very rarely square out/in), has to continue improving in route running area of his game, big 12 defenses were not a good competition level that he made look silly at times, questions about being a „system“ WR if that is anyway possible because of how he was utilized in the Lincoln Riley offense. Bottom line: When I started the WR evaluation, I never expected somebody would get a higher grade than Jerry Jeudy because I love Jerry Jeudy and his game. I'm sold. CeeDee is my WR1. Even though I value route running the highest and CeeDee is not the route runner that Jeudy is (it's not really close in that regard), the volume of big plays, big play ability, highlight type plays and things he has done on tape this year made me reconsider my position on this. He has one of the craziest highlight tapes ever with plays like 2 against Texas, Kansas State or Baylor where he avoids 5 or 6 defenders, breaks 3 or 4 tackles and scores from 70 yards out on a simple WR screen or after the catch. He is absolute joy to watch and has his own skillset that might lead to him being the #1 WR drafted come April. I am just a bit concerned with how will he look outside of Riley's system but the athleticism, the hand strength, the aggressiveness at the catch point, the sure hands, the catch radius even while not having a diverse route tree is too much for me to ignore. Final grade - 6.9 (Round 1/Top 10 player) Player comparison - DeAndre Hopkins
All-22 (for the gifs that don't have an indicator, CeeDee is wearing #2)
https://imgur.com/3M6pNYk - First example of his strong hands and YAC ability. Ball is behind, doesn't matter. Strong hands to grab the ball, break a weak tackle and get some more yards afterwards.
https://imgur.com/qbqlw3E - Very rarely does Lamb run a complex double move route like this out/go. It shows in 2018 that he is not experienced as DB stays with him doesn't completely bite on the out route as the first part of this route but in the end it doesn't matter. He just grabs the ball over you it almost doesn't matter how good your coverage is. He understands how to stack the corner at the top of his route and how to be in position to make the play in the ball. Best deep ball threat in the draft even while not being the fastest receiver.
https://imgur.com/RbwnzKx - This is an example of him understanding leverage and how to win on a route. He starts upfield, makes a first move inside and once the DB is commited he instantly sinks his hips and turns on DB's blind spot. Ball is bit late and this could've been an even bigger play.
https://imgur.com/5vuOJrp - Great job of releasing off the LOS with multiple looks to the DB. In the limited times he faced press man he has shown very good ability to create seperation so it leads me to believe he is a better route runner and better at releasing than the tape shows. Amazing job to get inside of the DB because he released outside, to stack the DB so he can't get to the ball and keep the DB on his back while constantly hand fighting mid route, create just a tiny bit of separation at the top of the route and finish the play with a catch in traffic. There will be questions if Lamb can do this in the NFL. He can, in my opinion. It is very hard to guard receivers like Lamb (look at prime Dez or DeAndre Hopkins) that are basically open even when the coverage looks good or great.
https://imgur.com/xe1k9Jg - Just a simple slant route. He needed to work on his slants in 2018 as he mostly didn't give many looks to the DB before running them but he basically catches everything anyways.
https://imgur.com/MHRl4ev - Lamb is at the bottom of the screen. Example of threating deep with speed and having the ability to sink his hips and explode back to the ball.
https://imgur.com/Xpd9Zov - Good feel where how to turn to get the most out of a simple check down that probably wasn't designed to go his way.
https://imgur.com/qXe2Rsx - Another example of threatening the 9 route sinking his hips and cutting his route at the proper depth as soon as the DB is commiting to the 9 route.
https://imgur.com/ZJMH2Rc - Great fast release with a step inside, great usage of arm to knock the potential jab of the DB and backshoulder catch. It's unguardable
https://imgur.com/IrvBQnS - Just a simple WR screen that goes for a huge play. Lamb is a threat to score every single time he touches the ball and that's not exaggerating.
https://imgur.com/338MT2K - Little bit of a lazy out route but he doesn't round it out. Throw is poor but Lamb bails your QB out with his catch radius.
https://imgur.com/RwKd9UD - Example of YAC and mentality Lamb has. If he can't make you miss, he will try to run through you.
https://imgur.com/jc48ymo - Putting foot in the ground and breaking the other way the second DB flips his hips. Lamb is open here, he is going to get doubled too but the ball doesn't come.
https://imgur.com/KamBmGL - This is a lot of Lamb's game. He slowplays his route and then explodes. This time, the DB is aware and is sitting on the route. He almost comes up with the ball in the contested catch situation and the flag should've probably been thrown for DB running into his body before the ball arrived.
https://imgur.com/d7rO8aL - Again, amazing understanding of leverage and how to win. The second you commit against Lamb, you can almost bet he's going the opposite direction.
https://imgur.com/zmjdUiu - Lamb navigates incredibly well through the trash and Riley's system is designed in this way to get his best player the ability to find a spot and get the ball.
https://imgur.com/f183uEO - This is actually a lazy route by Lamb but at the catch point it looks easy for him to come up with this ball. It is really incredible to watch Lamb on the downfield shots. He gets free release, he just gives one little step inside but the route is not perfect and the DB is sitting on it but it doesn't matter. 40% contested catch rate in his college career and 30 catches on 20+yard throws with 0 drops. It shows why
https://imgur.com/rJOaKia - Great release by Lamb. In limited snaps of press man in red zone he wins very consistantly. This one wasn't particularly close. The DB even starts with inside leverage
https://imgur.com/vO4e0T8 - Another example of his understanding of where to stop in zone and how to create yardage instantly after the catch. Little bit of lazy route tho.
https://imgur.com/sHWNZoG - Another stop route. This time the DB actually plays it well but the example is there to show how he can sink his hips at 6'2".
https://imgur.com/YU1WELl - Slowplaying the route and lulling defenders to sleep just to explode and go to the open spot for an easy walk in touchdown. This is a giant mistake by UCLA's defense.
https://imgur.com/h9mJLHl - Another example of his understanding of leverage and how to attack the DB's blind spot. starts upfield, fakes inside with 2 steps and as soon as DB commits he breaks. Great showcase of his YAC ability too.
https://imgur.com/3t5BtcH - Very good release, hand swatting at the press and stacking the DB. If the ball is thrown in front of him it's an easy TD. However, because of the play design, Hurts would have to throw accross his body so the play doesn't go there.
https://imgur.com/KPt38bV - His ability to return kicks and punts and to make plays like this in the run game is also very important. He is just a playmaker. Get him the ball and let him work. But he isn't just a YAC guy as we've all seen. He's much more than that.
https://imgur.com/8l9L0C0 - Another great example of how quickly he can drop his hips on the stop/comeback route. The player guarding him is one of the more athletically gifted CBs in this class Darnay Holmes. He slips because the break is so sudden.
That's all folks. I hope you enjoyed my film breakdown on our newest Dallas Cowboy. CeeDee Lamb is a WR1 in this draft class and a top 10 pick that we got at 17. We absolutely made the right choice. Be happy about this and enjoy 50 points that we will score every week.
Rankings: Every D1 Team vs. Spread Since 2011 (Cumulative) - UVA, MSU, Nova on top
Since 2011 (as far back as I have data), how has each team done vs. the spread? Specifically, if you bet $110 on every single game to beat the spread (which wins you $100 profit) since 2011, where would you be today? The chart below shows. Interestingly, a lot of the best teams of the era were also the best vs. the spread. Coincidence? I'm not sure, honestly. Someone has to be best vs. the spread, and assuming it's a bell curve (and it is) someone will be 2+ standard deviations ahead. But there's no a priori reason it should be UVA and MSU instead of e.g. Washington State or St. Peter's. (To pre-answer a question, sometimes you can win more money with fewer net wins vs. the spread because losses hurt you more than wins benefit you, and not every game gets a spread.) Additional data / year-by-year cuts
A big project here that has been underway for a bit, with some tweaking as needed. I only made trades in the first round. Any trades you see are reflective of first round deals. There's usually a handful of them, so I tried to really push for trades, rather than a take a less realistic approach to it and be super conservative about. Additionally, I added a few 3rd round compensatory picks, based on the projections from over the cap.
1.1 - Cincinnati Bengals - QB Joe Burrow (LSU). Don't need too much explanation here. Burrow is the best QB in this draft, perhaps even the best player, given how Chase Young was a bit quiet against Michigan & Clemson. Bringing him back to Ohio is too good. 1.2 - Washington Redskins - EDGE Chase Young (Ohio State). Another very easy pick, as Young has the potential to step into the NFL as a game changer from the first snap. Explosive, smart, and incredible hands, he has franchise changing potential. 1.3 - TRADE: Los Angeles Chargers - QB Tua Tagavailoa (Alabama). Miami could perhaps outbid the Chargers, but I don't see Miami wanting to give up too much of their stockpile for one player, especially given how many needs the Dolphins have. Thus, their #6 pick, a 3rd, and a 2021 1st round pick to Detroit for LAC to get a QB who could get them back to the playoffs immediately. 1.4 - New York Giants - OT Andrew Thomas (Georgia). This feels like such a good fit. Thomas is incredibly powerful, and fits the MO of the Giants well, building a powerful run game behind Saquon Barkley. 1.5 - Miami Dolphins - QB Justin Herbert (Oregon). According to reports, the Dolphins have done the most work on Herbert, and with the Chargers jumping up for Tua, the Dolphins choose to tap Herbert as their new starting QB, and hopefully fill out the rest of their needs with their massive stockpile of picks. 1.6 TRADE: Detroit Lions - DT Derrick Brown (Auburn). The Lions move back and still have their pick of Brown or Okudah, the two most popular names here. Ultimately, I went with Brown, as Brown can solve both their struggles stopping the run, and provide an interior pass rush. 1.7 Carolina Panthers - CB Jeff Okudah (Ohio State). The Panthers are probably hoping to get Brown, as his explosiveness is unreal, but Okudah could be an excellent piece to Matt Rhule's new defense, with his lockdown coverage ability. 1.8 TRADE: New York Jets - OT Tristan Wirfs (Iowa). As the Cardinals debate OL vs. WR, the Jets ensure they land a top OT by offering them their 3rd round pick and a future 6th round pick. The Cardinals accept, and the Jets get Sam Darnold some much needed protection. 1.9 Jacksonville Jaguars - WR Jerry Jeudy (Alabama). A great spot for the Jaguars, as Jeudy is arguably the best player left on the board, and also fills a big need for an offensive playmaker. Whether Nick Foles or Gardner Minshew starts for the Jags next season, Jeudy will make their lives easier. 1.10 Cleveland Browns - OT Jedrick Wills (Alabama). With Cleveland a sure bet to take a tackle, the Jets hopped them to get their choice. The Browns still take Wills, who has the athleticism to play either side, but either way is a big upgrade for Cleveland, as they attempt to rebuild their offensive line. 1.11 TRADE: Arizona Cardinals - WR CeeDee Lamb (Oklahoma). With their decision now made for them, the Cardinals take perhaps the biggest playmaker on the board. Lamb is an exceptional fit for Kingsbury's passing attack, and he should give them a replacement for Larry Fitzgerald, whenever he chooses to retire. 1.12 Las Vegas Raiders - LB/S Isaiah Simmons (Clemson). With a big need to improve the speed of their LB spot, the Raiders take Simmons, which also fits nicely with Mayhew's affinity for Clemson players. Simmons' versatility is perhaps the best among any player in this draft. 1.13 TRADE: Philadelphia Eagles - CB Kristian Fulton (LSU). With teams like Dallas, Jacksonville, and Miami ahead of them, the Eagles act promptly to get the cornerback of their choosing. Sending their 2nd round pick and a 2021 day three pick to Indy, the Eagles land an elite cover corner in Fulton. 1.14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers - DT Javon Kinlaw (South Carolina). With the top 3 quarterbacks gone, the Bucs opt to do the smart thing, and take the disruptive DT from South Carolina. If they retain Barrett, this could be quite the deadly pass rush next season. 1.15 Denver Broncos - WR Henry Ruggs III (Alabama). The Broncos could use some speed to compliment Courtland Sutton at WR. Pairing the two of them should give second-year QB Drew Lock a promising group of pass catchers, as he attempts to bring the Broncos back to the playoffs. 1.16 Atlanta Falcons - EDGE A.J. Epenesa (Iowa). Almost too good to be true for the Falcons, as they get the second best pass rusher at 16 without having to move up. Thankfully the board falls well to them, and Epenesa gives them a powerful pass rushing presence to boost their DL. 1.17 Dallas Cowboys - S Grant Delpit (LSU). This pick seems almost too trendy, but that's because it's just a fantastic fit. Delpit's stock dropped a bit due to some poor tackling, but his ability to make plays all around the field is still unmatched at the safety position. A great fit in Dallas. 1.18 Miami Dolphins (via PIT) - OT Mekhi Becton (Louisville). The next tackle off the board comes to Miami, as the Dolphins need to rebuild this unit in a massive way. And what better way than to add a massive pass protector like Becton, who can keep Herbert clean for years to come. 1.19 Las Vegas Raiders (via CHI) - WR Tee Higgins. Wouldn't it be nice to grab a QB here Bears fans? Instead, the Raiders add a weapon on the outside in Higgins, whose elite body control allows him to come down with some insane catches. He gives the Raiders the outside weapon they're searching for. 1.20 Jacksonville Jaguars (via LAR) - CB Trevon Diggs (Alabama). The Jaguars could use a corner to play across from Bouye, and Diggs has elite size, and the ability to be a stud for them. 1.21 TRADE: Indianapolis Colts - EDGE Yetur Gross-Matos (Penn State). I'd love to see the Colts target Arik Armstead in free agency to improve their pass rush, but if they don't, grabbing a high potential pass rusher like YGM would be an excellent move, especially after trading back for more picks. 1.22 Buffalo Bills - WR Laviska Shenault (Colorado). Shenault can make plays in so many different ways. He'd give OC Brian Daboll and QB Josh Allen a major boost with his play making. 1.23 New England Patriots - EDGE K'Lavon Chaisson (LSU). The Patriots would be best not using this on a tight end, as they are slow developers in their first seasons. Instead, go sign Hunter Henry, and then draft a pass rusher like Chaisson to help your defense continue to disrupt opposing offenses. 1.24 New Orleans Saints - LB Kenneth Murray (Oklahoma). The Saints could use some help in the middle of their defense, and Murray can make plays from sideline to sideline, a very well-rounded player. 1.25 Minnesota Vikings - CB C.J. Henderson (Florida). Death, taxes, Vikings drafting 1st round corners. Though this time, the need for one is very clear, given the potential exodus of corners they could have in free agency. Henderson has the ability to be a lockdown corner in Mike Zimmer's defense. 1.26 Miami Dolphins (via HOU) - RB D'Andre Swift (Georgia). Fans usually hate running backs in the first round, but the value of Swift here, compared to reaching on a pass rusher or guard here, is fantastic. He's a dynamic back, with play making ability both as a runner and as a pass catcher. 1.27 TRADE: Tennessee Titans - EDGE Curtis Weaver (Boise State) - The Titans hop ahead of the Ravens, landing the pass rushing OLB of their choice in Weaver. A strong pass rusher with plenty of moves, he and Harold Landry would form a scary good young duo in Tennessee. 1.28 Baltimore Ravens - WR Justin Jefferson (LSU) - Rather than reach for an edge rusher, the Ravens add Jefferson, whose electrifying season was a big part of why LSU are the national champions. He can help Lamar Jackson in a lot of ways, and is a pretty willing blocker in the run game. 1.29 TRADE: Seattle Seahawks - OT Lucas Niang (TCU) - Picking up a 2021 3rd round pick to swap with the Titans, the Seahawks use this pick to grab Niang, and give Russell Wilson some more protection, an upgrade over Ifedi in Seattle. 1.30 Green Bay Packers - WR Jalen Reagor (TCU) - Back to back Horned Frogs at the end of the first round, as the Packers add a big time weapon to their offense. Reagor's ability to take the top off of defenses would be a huge boost for Rodgers. 1.31 Kansas City Chiefs - RB Travis Etienne (Clemson) - Wanted to give the Chiefs some defensive help, but nothing stood out as a great fit. Instead, the Chiefs take the best player left on the board in Etienne, and continue to add elite weapons to an already dangerous offense. 1.32 TRADE: Carolina Panthers - QB Jordan Love (Utah State). The 49ers are low on picks in this draft, so a trade back to replenish their ammo would be great. And the Panthers land themselves Love, who can develop under Rhule and new Panthers OC Joe Brady, sending a 4th and a 7th round pick to the 49ers in return.
2.1 Cincinnati Bengals - OT Josh Jones (Houston). Now that they have their franchise QB, they need to protect their franchise QB. With Jonah Williams added in last year, the Bengals add a long, athletic pass protector in Jones. 2.2 Indianapolis Colts (via WAS) - WR K.J. Hamler (Penn State). The Colts used their first pick to add defensive help, and now this pick turns into the speedy Hamler to help the offense. 2.3 Detroit Lions - CB A.J. Terrell (Clemson). After taking a DT in the first round, the Lions land a great fit in Terrell to give them some needed cornerback help. 2.4 New York Giants - EDGE Zack Baun (Wisconsin). Continuing to build the team from the inside out, the Giants add an excellent pass rusher in Baun, who has risen immensely since last season. 2.5 Los Angeles Chargers - OT Austin Jackson (USC). Like the Bengals, the Chargers need to find protection for their new signal caller, and this comes in the local product out of USC. 2.6 TRADE: San Francisco 49ers - CB Jeff Gladney (TCU). After moving out of the first round, the 49ers add extra picks and now select a cornerback to boost their outstanding defense. 2.7 Miami Dolphins - G Soloman Kindley (Georgia). Miami needs to take multiple offensive linemen in the first two days of the draft, and they so here with a strong interior guard in Kindley. 2.8 Arizona Cardinals - DT Raekwon Davis (Alabama). After adding CeeDee Lamb in the first, the Cardinals add a long, powerful DT to give a boost to their defense, rather than reach on OL here. 2.9 Cleveland Browns - S Xavier McKinney (Alabama). The Browns should have plenty of opportunities to fill their biggest needs with elite prospects, and they do exactly that by adding McKinney here. 2.10 Jacksonville Jaguars - RB Jonathan Taylor (Wisconsin). The theme here is continuing to add weapons to this offense, and Taylor can be a big boost either in tangent with Fournette, or as a pass catcher out of the backfield. 2.11 Chicago Bears (via LVR) - G/C Tyler Biadasz (Wisconsin). Back to back Badgers, as the Bears add some much needed help on the OL in Biadasz, who can easily slide to guard alongside Daniels. 2.12 Indianapolis Colts - QB Jacob Eason (Washington). The Colts may have waited a bit, but they do add a QB with immense potential in the strong armed-Eason. A season behind Brissett could do him wonders. 2.13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers - OT Prince Tega Wanogho (Auburn). The Bucs find themselves a pass protector, and PTW may have the highest ceiling out of all these guys due to his immense athleticism. 2.14 Denver Broncos - OT Isaiah Wilson (Georgia). The Broncos too need to find some help at OT, and they get that with Wilson, another incredibly athletic SEC pass protector. 2.15 Atlanta Falcons - DT Neville Gallimore (Oklahoma). Didn't like a fit for any corners here, so the Falcons take Gallimore and provide a boost to their defensive line. 2.16 New York Jets - EDGE Terrell Lewis (Alabama). In need of pass rushers as well, the Jets take a chance on Lewis, who has immense potential, but has dealt with some injuries. 2.17 Pittsburgh Steelers - EDGE Julian Okwara (Notre Dame). The Steelers enter the draft, and they pick Notre Dame's top edge rusher, a crafty and surprisingly strong pass rusher. 2.18 Chicago Bears - TE Cole Kmet (Notre Dame). The first tight end off the board is Kmet, who will provide Trubisky another weapon in hopes that he can get things figured out. 2.19 Dallas Cowboys - DT Justin Madibuike (Texas A&M). The Cowboys first two picks gives them two impact defenders to help straighten out their defense. 2.20 Los Angeles Rams - OT Trey Adams (Washington). If the Rams want another run at the Super Bowl, heck, even the playoffs, they need to upgrade their OL, and they do that with the massive product out of Washington. 2.21 TRADE: Indianapolis Colts - TE Hunter Bryant (Washington) Picking this up from the Eagles, the Colts reunite Bryant and Eason, giving them a natural replacement for Ebron as a pass catching TE. 2.22 Buffalo Bills - EDGE Jabari Zuniga (Florida). The Bills add a pass rusher here, as Zuniga's excellent play earns him a spot in the second round. 2.23 Atlanta Falcons (via NE) - CB Jaylon Johnson (Utah) - The Falcons add a corner with the pick they received in the Sanu trade. Johnson was a major asset for the tough Utah defense. 2.24 Miami Dolphins (via NO) - EDGE Jonathan Greenard (Florida). Just two picks behind a fellow Gator's pass rusher, Greenard fits Flores scheme quite well, and provides some pass rush help. 2.25 Houston Texans - RB Cam Akers (Florida State). Akers may be the most underrated back in this draft, as he managed to put up excellent footage in Tallahassee, despite playing behind that garbage OL. 2.26 Minnesota Vikings - T/G Calvin Throckmorten (Oregon). The Vikings run came to end as the 49ers obliterated their OL. They address that with the RT out of Oregon. 2.27 Seattle Seahawks - EDGE Darrell Taylor (Tennessee). The Seahawks will likely re-sign Jadeveon Clowney as a powerful SDE, but adding an edge rusher who gets after the QB a bit more would be great. 2.28 Baltimore Ravens - ILB Troy Dye (Oregon). Filling the void left by C.J. Mosley, Dye steps into to a Ravens defense, and could be a bit component for them going forward. 2.29 Tennessee Titans - RB J.K. Dobbins (Ohio State). This would change if the Titans re-sign Derrick Henry, however, with a very good offensive line, the Titans could likely continue rushing success without Henry. 2.30 Green Bay Packers - DT Ross Blacklock (TCU). Perhaps one of my favorite "sleepers" of the draft, Blacklock has a fantastic blend of size and quickness to him. 2.31 Kansas City Chiefs - CB Cameron Dantzler (Mississippi St.). A big, physical corner, Dantzler should step in and contribute for the Chiefs fairly quickly, given their needs at corner. 2.32 Seattle Seahawks - WR Brandon Aiyuk (Arizona St.). A big play waiting to happen every time the ball heads his direction, Aiyuk would give Russell Wilson an electric weapon.
3.1 Cincinnati Bengals - C Nick Harris (Washington) 3.2 Washington Redskins - WR Donovan Peoples-Jones (Michigan) 3.3 Detroit Lions - EDGE Bradlee Anae (Utah) 3.4 TRADE: Arizona Cardinals - G John Simpson (Clemson) - from trade w/ NYJ (via NYG). 3.5 Carolina Panthers - DT Rashard Lawrence (LSU) 3.6 Miami Dolphins - G Shane Lemiuex (Oregon) 3.7 TRADE: Detroit Lions - WR Michael Pittman Jr. (USC) - from trade w/ LAC. 3.8 Arizona Cardinals - OT Yasir Durant (Missouri) 3.9 Jacksonville Jaguars - S Ashtyn Davis (California) 3.10 Cleveland Browns - G Ben Bredeson (Michigan) 3.11 Indianapolis Colts - DL Marlon Davidson (Auburn) 3.12 Tampa Bay Bucs - CB Deommodore Lenoir (Oregon) 3.13 Denver Broncos - CB Lamar Jackson (Nebraska) 3.14 Atlanta Falcons - WR Bryan Edwards (South Carolina) 3.15 New York Jets - S Antoine Winfield Jr. (Minnesota) 3.16 Las Vegas Raiders - CB/S Shyheim Carter (Alabama) 3.17 Las Vegas Raiders - LB Jacob Phillips (LSU) 3.18 Dallas Cowboys - WR Tyler Johnson (Minnesota) 3.19 Denver Broncos (via PIT) - OT Robert Hunt (UL-Lafayette) 3.20 Los Angeles Rams - DT Leki Fotu (Utah) 3.21 Philadelphia Eagles - S Kyle Dugger (Lenoir-Rhyne) 3.22 Buffalo Bills - EDGE Anfernee Jennings (Alabama) 3.23 New England Patriots - QB Jake Fromm (Georgia) 3.24 New Orleans Saints - QB Jalen Hurts (Oklahoma) 3.25 Minnesota Vikings - DL Nick Coe (Auburn) 3.26 Cleveland Browns (via HOU) - LB Malik Harrison (Ohio State) 3.27 Las Vegas Raiders (via SEA) - WR Devin Duvernay (Texas) 3.28 Baltimore Ravens - EDGE Khalid Kareem (Notre Dame) 3.29 Tennessee Titans - DT Jordan Elliott (Missouri) 3.30 Green Bay Packers - LB Jordan Mack (Virginia) 3.31 Kansas City Chiefs - LB Jordyn Brooks (Texas Tech) 3.32 Denver Broncos (via SF) - OT Scott Franz (Kansas State) Compensatory Picks (as predicted by OverTheCap) 3.33 New England Patriots - OT Ezra Cleveland (Boise State) 3.34 New York Giants - WR Gabriel Davis (UCF) 3.35 New England Patriots - TE Adam Trautman (Dayton) 3.36 Seattle Seahawks - S Hamsah Nasirildeen (Florida State) 3.37 Houston Texans - EDGE Josh Uche (Michigan) 3.38 Pittsburgh Steelers - TE Colby Parkinson (Stanford) 3.39 Philadelphia Eagles - CB Thomas Graham (Oregon)
4.1 Cincinnati Bengals - WR Antonio Gandy-Golden (Liberty) 4.2 Washington Redskins - CB Amik Robertson (Louisiana Tech) 4.3 Detroit Lions - RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (LSU) 4.4 New York Giants - CB Damon Arnette (Ohio State) 4.5 Houston Texans (via MIA) - C/G Netane Muti (Fresno State) 4.6 Los Angeles Chargers - C Matt Hennessy (Temple) 4.7 TRADE: San Francisco 49ers - C Jake Hanson (Oregon) 4.8 Arizona Cardinals - RB Chuba Hubbard (Oklahoma St.) 4.9 Cleveland Browns - OT Jack Driscoll (Auburn) 4.10 Jacksonville Jaguars - LB Akeem Davis-Gaither (Appalachian St.) 4.11 Tampa Bay Bucs - RB Eno Benjamin (Arizona St.) 4.12 Denver Broncos - DT Raequan Williams (Michigan St.) 4.13 Atlanta Falcons - CB Darnay Holmes (UCLA) 4.14 New York Jets - EDGE Kenny Willekes (Michigan St.) 4.15 Las Vegas Raiders - QB Anthony Gordon (Washington St.) 4.16 Indianapolis Colts - RB Kylin Hill (Mississippi St.) 4.17 Dallas Cowboys - WR Isaiah Hodgins (Oregon St.) 4.18 Pittsburgh Steelers - OT Ben Bartch (St. John's) 4.19 New England Patriots (via CHI) - LB Logan Wilson (Wyoming) 4.20 Los Angeles Rams - WR Chase Claypool (Notre Dame) 4.21 Philadelphia Eagles - WR Denzel Mims (Baylor) 4.22 Buffalo Bills - WR Jauan Jennings (Tennessee) 4.23 Baltimore Ravens - RB A.J. Dillon (Boston College 4.24 New Orleans Saints - CB Bryce Hall (Virginia) 4.25 Houston Texans - TE Brycen Hopkins (Purdue) 4.26 Minnesota Vikings - WR Lynn Bowden (Kentucky) 4.27 Seattle Seahawks - G Logan Stenberg (Kentucky) 4.28 Baltimore Ravens - Cesar Ruiz (Michigan) 4.29 Pittsburgh Steelers (via TEN) - OT Justin Herron (Wake Forrest) 4.30 Green Bay Packers - OT Matt Peart (UCONN) 4.31 Kansas City Chiefs - CB Kindle Vildor (Georgia Southern) 4.32 Denver Broncos (via SF) - LB Cameron Brown (Penn State) Anyways. That's my shot at one. Tell me why you hate it...
I posted this on this sub a couple days ago, but for some reason I had problems with folks being unable to see it. I'm reposting, so if any of the lines have changed, feel free to ask in the comments! I'm marking the Hydra System as a failure and discontinuing the current setup. Instead I will begin experimenting with less teams/higher juice to see if it can be tweaked into a more successful system. I'll be turning my bankroll exclusively to picks and not investing in the Hydra System. Input is welcomed! I won't be adding together the weekly picks with the Hydra System any longer to determine how a week went. Picks are back to positive and this part of the season is where I typically do best. In the last two weeks, picks have gone 17-9 for a 65% win rate!
Week 8 Recap
1u - Wisconsin -30.5 at Illinois at -110 = Loss
1u - Boise State -6.5 at BYU for -110 = Loss
1u - Auburn -18 at Arkansas for -110 = WIN
1u - Minnesota -28 at Rutgers for -110 = WIN
1u - Missouri -21.5 at Vanderbilt for -110 = Loss
1u - Iowa State -6.5 at Texas Tech at -110 = WIN
1u - Baylor +3.5 at Oklahoma State for -110 = WIN
1u - LSU -19 at Mississippi State for -110 = WIN
2u - Navy -14 at South Florida for -110 = WIN
2u - Houston -22 at UConn for -110 = Loss
2u - Memphis -4.5 vs Tulane for -110 = WIN
1u - Texas A&M -6.5 at Ole Miss for -110 = WIN
Week 8 picks went 8-4 for +4.5u Hydra System Week 8
Fresno State ML vs UNLV at -600 = WIN
Miami ML vs Georgia Tech at -1050 = Loss (in OT w/a horrible spot.. yikes)
Houston ML at UConn at -1800 = WIN
LSU ML at Mississippi State for -1165 = WIN
Auburn ML at Arkansas for -1100 = WIN
App State ML vs UL-Monroe at -600 = WIN
5u - parlay at -115 odds Hydra System went for -5.75u Adding together +4.5u from the picks and -5.75u from Hydra, we're at Week 8 Total = -1.25u Add in results from the past 7 weeks and we're at: SEASON TOTAL PICKS: 53-41 for +0.11u HYDRA SYSTEM TOTAL: 2-5 for -20.05u (eeeeeeesh)
Week 9 Picks
1u - Parlay: Arizona St ML at UCLA / Memphis ML at Tulsa for -102
1u - Liberty -7.5 at Rutgers at -105
1u - ECU ML vs USF for -110
1u - Arizona State -4 at UCLA for -115
1u - SDSU -12 at UNLV for -110
1u - Miami +5 at Pitt for -110
1u - Washington State +14 at Oregon for -110
2u - Penn St -5.5 at Michigan St for -110
2u - FIU -2.5 at MTSU for -110
2u - Memphis -10.5 at Tulsa for -110
2u - Missouri -10 at Kentucky for -115
1u - New Mexico State +14.5 at Georgia Southern at -110
What a nightmare. Week 5 will now forever be known as Bloody Saturday for me. There were so many things that went wrong. New Mexico State played horribly, but thanks to a fumble by Fresno State on their own 30 in the 2H, they get the TD they need to eventually cover the spread as Fresno State scores 24 first half points and 6 second half points. We also had New Mexico score a garbage TD with 40 seconds left in the game to cover against Liberty. Arizona State and Cal ended 1/2 point above 40.5. In fact, the line went up right after I posted it to 41, eventually getting up to 43.5. I think most people won on that bet and got a better number, but sheeeeesh. How about Arizona who announced right before the game that their Heisman-caliber QB wouldn't be playing? Clemson decided they were going to take an early bye week. And an Arkansas team that lost to San Jose State and almost lost to an FCS team nearly beat TAMU? And North Texas... I understand I'm going to get a lot of flak for this one since it was my lock, and rightfully so. I was really excited about this game because I got the number at -3 at my local book and -6 online. The number steamed up to UNT -9 at kickoff! Looking at the box score is so confusing. UNT gained 100 more yards than Houston, had more first downs, had 230 more pass yards, had the ball for longer and had zero turnovers. Houston's QB that sucked last year came in and threw 16/20! I am shocked. I watched the entire game and still have no clue how this happened. Every analyst and rating system had UNT easily winning this game. Awful beat. This is part of the reason I don't charge for my picks. If a weird weekend comes along, you don't have to worry about paying for picks, just lost juice. This was a tough one and a hard regression to the mean, but we press onward.
Week 5 Recap:
1u - Wake Forest -7 at Boston College at -110 = Loss
1u - Washington -10 vs USC at -105 = WIN
1u - Oregon State +3 vs Stanford at -105 = Push
2u - Temple -9.5 vs Georgia Tech at -110 = WIN
2u - Fresno State -17.5 at New Mexico State University for -110 = Loss
2u - Liberty -7.5 vs New Mexico University at -110 = Loss
2u - SMU -7.5 at USF for -110 = WIN
2u - Arizona State at Cal u40.5 at -110 = Loss
10u- LOCK: North Texas -6 vs Houston for -110 = Loss
1u - Arizona -6.5 vs UCLA at -110 = Loss
1u - Clemson 1H -16 vs UNC at -110 = Loss
2u - Liberty -7 vs New Mexico at -110 = Push
2u - Texas A&M -7.5 vs Arkansas at -105 = Loss
2u - North Texas 2H -4 vs Houston at -105 = Loss
Week 5 picks went 3-9 with 2 pushes for a shocking -20.10u Hydra System Week 5:
Western Michigan ML vs Central Michigan -950
Air Force ML vs San Jose State -1165
Fresno State ML at New Mexico State -950
TCU ML vs Kansas -800
App State ML vs Coastal Carolina -700
Ohio State ML at Nebraska -1000
Michigan ML vs Rutgers at -5500
5u - Parlay at -110 odds Week 5 Hydra System went for +5u Adding together the -20.10u from the picks and +5u from Hydra, we're at: Week 5 Total = -15.1u Add in results from the first 4 weeks: SEASON TOTAL PICKS: 31-26 with 5 pushes for +0.71u HYDRA SYSTEM TOTAL: 2-2 for -1.35u Let's make some back this week.
Cleaner more organized column:https://forums.operationsports.com/forums/nba-2k-basketball/952639-stakzz-mock-draft-2-0-w-team-analysis.html#post2049784283 Email: [email protected] personal: [email protected] Twitter: mr.12thhouse This is all opinionated and should be taken with a grain of salt. I am a member of Operation Sports Forum and for my community work I have received free/early releases from 2K Games. I will not be making anymore rosters nor draft classes this year per my current agreement w/ 2K sports. June and July are almost here and I am getting hives from being less involved than my previous years. So i bring to you a very thought out Summary of what i would like to see draft night. The NBA Draft is far from perfect, while I do like the new Lottery system that went into effect this year, I just do not believe it can be perfect until GM's start drafting on team needs rather than chase the best available. Format: The top three teams will have more detailed information on their current rosters and why I believe they will draft such player. The first two paragraphs of every breakdown explains team & draftee needs, while the last two paragraphs express the strengths and weaknesses of those players. Next to each team i will note important players whos status effects how their team moves this July! 1. New Orleans - Zion Williamson (Anthony Davis) [22ppg 8rpg 2apg 68%FG 33%3PT]New Orleans best fit: David Griffin is going to need to start their rebuilding process as if Davis is already gone. Drafting in hopes of bringing a big name to New Orleans as in incitative to change Davis’s mind will only result in another GM losing their job. If i was David Griffin i would only have two choices on draft night: Draft the biggest name, or draft your future offensive leader. For this i would be looking at Williamson vs Morant. Of course the likelihood of being fired becomes greater if Griffin selects Morant over Williamson. If the pelicans decide to draft Williamson, their focus will be on acquiring the right assets to play with Williamson. Don’t worry, whoever drafts Williamson will have four years and 8 expected draft picks where they will be looking to add height and floor spacing bigs. Williamson best fit: (A team with expandable shooters and length, A primary ball handler to help Williamson get to his spots) Williamson will be a great player. But due to his laundry list of weaknesses, Williamson needs to be treated as a centerpiece from day one. Williamson will need to be surrounded by 3-4 Shooters. I’d prefer 4 as I don’t see him developing a jump shot the way Boston Celtics Jayson Tatum did the summer before his rookie season. Playing Williamson at the 3 leaves a huge offensive disadvantage, while playing him at the 4 leaves a huge height disadvantage. Playing with a 4-5 like Anthony Davis will be tremendous for Williamson, but 7 foot shooters don’t grow on trees, so trying to find 4 shooters who can play with an undersized forward won’t be easy. Williamson developing an outside shot allows him to move to the 3 spot and add some height to the front court.
GM David Griffin along with the rest of the NBA execs had absolutely no plan for Zion since currently he is the projected #1 overall pick. Boston Celtics GM, Danny Ainge may have helped New Orleans start their rebuilding process off with a kick. By David Griffin waiting until the offseason to move Davis, that gave way to a potential trade with New York for what was believed to be the #1 overall. Now David Griffin has the best shot at Williamson as well as a trade asset in Davis where they can use Zion to convince Davis to resign or simply move the six time All-Star before the midseason trade deadline. New Orleans needs to draft as if Davis is gone. That means they need to gain a centerpiece whether that's Williamson or assets from the preestablished Davis trade. Free agents aren't knocking at David Griffin's door, New Orleans must become a free agent destination if they want to make it back to a top 8 team of the western conference.
Pros: Highly anticipated recruit with an admirable on and off the court attitude. Williamson’s humility is part of the reasons why we believe he can be a great player. He looks as if he wants to learn while Coach K has complimented his ability to be coached. Averaging 2.1spg and an added 1.8 rejections, Williamson height will not be a liability in today’s small-ball NBA lineups. Williamson can jump as high as you can shoot. Weighing more than most boxing heavyweight champions, your only hope at beating Williamson at the rim is to get past him and even still Williamson has the lateral quickness and defensive IQ to anticipate lane attacks. This unique combination is something that we have never seen in this association. Williamsons body allows him to guard the top four positions in today's NBA. Elite defense coupled with his offensive skill-set: being able to put the ball on the floor, willingness to take outside shots, high motor, willingness to initiate contact rather than avoid it like his other draft constituents. Williamsons game and his early attitude towards the game is a desired mold for the perfect NBA player. Cons: While I do believe in the Williamson ceiling debate, the current consensus in regards to his floor should be more concerning. Any avid stat-junkie knows that the NBA adds an inch. Maybe two. Player measurements are vital as often High School coaches boost their players heights on online stat sites for HS Hoops. I like to callout real measurements and want to express in no way am I 'Williamson biased'. At 6 foot 6, 280lbs Williamson's potential is as high as the level of activity his body can endure. Although Williamson will be a great player, GM’s can be fired for the players they pass up on draft night (including David Griffin if he chooses to not draft the all-american). Sam Bowie, Kwame Brown, Greg Oden, Anthony Bennett, and Lonzo Ball are prime examples why GM’s with top picks could be more conservative. I believe Williamson has the biggest bust factor comparable and maybe even worse than Sam Bowie. I’m not saying that there is Michael Jordan level talent stashed away somewhere in this draft, but considering Williamson is the most anticipated draftee since Lebron James… Williamson has big shoes to fill if he can prevent breaking through them. Compared to future All-Star Ben Simmons who did not shoot jumpshots at the collegiate level, Williamson also lacks a reliable jumper but has not been afraid to show that part of his game. As i stated, Williamson puts the ball on the ground, but his movement w/ the ball is one-sided. Nba defenders will abuse this weakness by giving a poor shooter room to shoot, while elite defenders like Kawhi & Jimmy Butler will play to Williamson’s inability to switch hands when handling the ball. While ball handling and a jumpshot can be taught, at his height and weight what worries me is his ability to play season after season, 82 games - 48 minutes. Without a serious conditioning program, Williamson will not play an 82 game rookie season. Williamson’s iconic “through the shoe” Injury was painful to watch. Not because the number one college player in the country looked to have suffered a lower-body muscle injury, but due to Williamson’s muscle mass. That same injury would have not happened to a player with a lesser muscle. Lebron James sometimes plays at the weight of 260lbs+ and yet I do not think that James would have missed time do to an injury of that nature. Any nba player would kill to have Williamsons natural athleticism. So quick off his feet at nearly 300lbs of pure muscle, while other players like Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant don’t need the extra muscle to be effective on the offensive end. 2. Memphis - Ja Morant (Mike ConleyChandler Parsons) [24ppg 5rpg 10apg 45%FG 36%3P] Memphis Best Fit: With Conley & Parsons accounting for nearly 45% of the Grizzlies player payroll and only scoring a combined 28ppg - 27% of the teams scoring - I am either smelling a trade or another GM vacancy. Conley becomes an unrestricted free agent in 2021 making a fully guaranteed $22,426,383 while Parsons is serving a 25% max bid ending after the 2020 season where he will make a fully guaranteed $25,102,511. We all thought the that Memphis could compete with their big three of Conley, Parsons and Gasol (all respectable pros) but with injuries and trades, Memphis will be looking to use their assets to start their rebuilding process. Mike Conley can be considered a “win-now” facilitator. His veteran status is more treasured to a contending team so look for a possible outing for the 11-year vet from Ohio State. Ja Morant Best Fit: Morant will have success on any team that selects him. While for personal reasons i’d like to see him in New York - or any team that’s well into their rebuilding process - Morant will make family with the Grizzlies other younglings. Morant is a player who can give you the same attitude, the same level of production whether he is the best player on the team or a backup option. Morant will feed his teammates, It’s up to them to knock down the shot. Morant will need high-motor bigs like Montrezl Harrell, guys who catch lobs out of the pick and roll. Pros: Morant has NBA-level Point guard skills. The type of skills guards struggle to develop during the development years coined the ‘rookie contract’. There is misconception that young passive players can grow into a high-motor. This is untrue. Guys like Russell Westbrook, Draymond Green, Pascal Siakam all have a unique high-motor level of play unforeseen and unlike any previous association players. While I don’t compare Westbrook to Morant as their skillsets are very different, Understand that you get what you get when it comes to a players hustle and motor. This is the NBA, everyone plays their motor to a 100%, some players are just working with bigger engines. Taking that into account, if you draft Morant, you are getting something unique you may not get from his 59 other constituents this draft. As far as skillset goes, Morant can play in multiple styles when it comes to a point guard's role. Morant can run the offense through his own scoring, and while he can play a passive facilitator role, Morant is at his best with a mixture of scoring and assisting. His ability to shoot, draws defenders closer to the perimeter. What we usually see from collegiate shooters when defenders close in on the perimeter, they tend to launch bad shots or pass out to a teammate. With Morant, his elite quickness and ball-handling allowed him to get by defenders all season long often leading to primary and secondary help defenders closing in resulting in a foul at the rim or an open jump shot off an assist. Morant’s willingness to attack the basket puts defenders in a guessing situation. Morant has not shown us any terribly exploitable kinks in his game so far. Cons: Most of Morant’s points came from the foul line and inside the arc. If your name is not Kevin Durant, you can not ignore that the midrange is a bad shot to take. Morant will have to put on some muscle if he wants to continue attacking the basket against NBA level defenders. Morant has the attitude of a champion. Not a complement, due to Williamson being in this draft, he and Morant will be forever compared. So in comparing their attitudes, I wouldn't mind having a guy on my team with an attitude similar to Morant’s, it is clear he wants to win. Often times Morant displayed his frustration on the court with himself and his teammates. Players known for their unsavory attitudes like Kyrie Irving, Westbrook and Dray Green cause trouble in the locker room. Morant just like these NBA vets, needs to realize it’s not your job to discipline or ridicule teammates for taking bad shots. The coach will explain why the shot was a bad shot and what they can do to get to a higher percentage shot. Your job as a facilitator of the offense is to put your guys in positions where they already have a good chance to make it. For this reason, I would rather have humility in my locker room which is the attitude you get when drafting Williamson. Continuing… Murray State! I’m not knocking on Murray State, I loved the Isaiah Canaan years. One of the best shooters to play at the college level, But guys like Isaiah Canaan & Washington’s Markelle Fultz are clear indications of what happens when Point Guards play for teams with weaker regular season opponents. I believe Duke’s Barrett could still be a #1 or #2 overall pick if he had a team where the entire offensive scheme is run through him. So yes the team you play for does affect your play which in terms can boost your draft rating which is an overall assessment that ranks you among your constituents. If Morant is truly a 3-star recruit, his play at Murray State aligned him with the 5 star recruits of his class. Who is to say that this would be the case if he played for Arizona, Kentucky or North Carolina. By numbers Morant would be the consensus for the number one pick, but due to Williamsons potential, whether or not Morant is better or will be better does not matter. Williamson has showed his weaknesses, shown us that he can play against the highest level of competition, but as far as Morant, he will have to continue to prove that come July. 3. New York - RJ Barrett (DeAndre Jordan) [22ppg 7rpg 4apg 45%FG 30%3PT] NY Best Fit: NY currently has no identity. No style of play. By trading away Kristaps Porzingis, the Knicks avoided having to give out a max guaranteed rookie contract extension and in return they gained a $22m DeAndre Jordan who becomes an unrestricted free agent this July. Nearly 50% of the Knicks player payroll ($59M) is tied into dead cap from guys who they recieve zero production from, coupled with the expiring Jordan, the Knicks will retain more than $90m (65% of team salary). By obtaining a 2nd year Dennis Smith Jr. NY will have a better chance of attracting free agents this offseason and considering the future RFA Smith won’t be crossing off the checklist to a max extension in 2021, The knicks look to be in a very good financial situation If they can spend that $90M this offseason. The Knicks should be looking to draft in the 2,4 and 5 spots. The stars that they will need to turn around the franchise won’t be found in this draft. Draft the best available at those positions and hope that the FA you bring in can influence the draftees production. RJ Barrett Best Fit: Towards the end of the season, we started to see that Barrett cannot be the best player on a stacked Duke team. This does not mean that he struggles playing with talent, but rather his talent is less effective when the offense is not being run through him. Similar to James Harden, Barrett’s game is his scoring ability, and when too much team responsibility is put on Barrett, he does not produce as efficiently as he does when he’s locked in scoring. For this reason, If Barrett does not step up as a facilitator or defender, you are going to want to surround him with selfless guards and bigs who can defend. I’d like to see Barrett in Memphis. Barrett won’t make his NY teammates any better, but going to a Memphis team with veterans, an identity and young guys who know their roles, Barrett could potentially make Memphis a plus .500 team. Pros: The original consensus for #1 pick. GM’s are comfortable with drafting guys like Barrett. All GM’s understand where players are ranked with other teams so being able to get a higher rated player at a lower pick adds job security for Scott Perry even if Barrett is the worst of the top three. With above average quickness, Barrett has the length to defend. Similar to Harden who is considered a mediocre defender, Barrett will find success playing the passing lanes and switching onto NBA sized point guards. He has shown us his ability to score, leading Duke in ppg very early as a Freshman with very little added help from the three ball. While he does not possess the strength of a James Harden, I do see the potential to add some weight to his frame. Barrett is able to dribble and drive on both sides of his body, making him a more skilled attacker than his teammate Williamson. While Williamson relied on his athleticism, Barrett relies on his skillset. Being able to pull up off the dribble or drive with either hand Barrett has the tools to apply pressure on good defenders. Shooting as inefficient as Barrett did this season, to be able to have that level of point production marks his basketball IQ which may be higher than some of his “one-and-done” constituents. Cons: As i stated Barrett is not a good defender at this stage. He has all the tools to be an elite defender, but lacks the attitude and discipline to get low and into guys space without fouling. This can change once he reaches the NBA which is less half court, less zone and more isolation play than the collegiate level. Even though Barrett shot just 2 of 6 from deep, If you sag off as a defender, he will shoot. So Barrett’s mediocre shooting should be overlooked as he has all the tools to be an elite shooter in today's association. Offensively Barrett only has his skillset and length at this moment. Although he possess above average speed and quickness, he is not considered to possess the elite athleticism that Morant & Williamson holds. Throughout the season when the defense took away his shot and his path to the basket, Barrett showed to be ineffective. When the defense removes all of your spots, you can either work harder to get to your spots or work harder to help your teammates get to their spot. When you have RJ Barrett talent understand that if you are struggling with your defender, your teammates may be struggling as well, so instead of focusing on making his next shot, Barrett needs to look to drive and kick, attract a help defender, feed the postman (no karl malone). Barrett has done this averaging 4.3 assists per contest, but on paper Barrett looks similar to Lonzo Ball who averaged 7.6 assists at UCLA while shooting less and more efficiently. I have no excuses for Guards who can’t shoot free throws. I won’t be acknowledging every player who struggled at the freebie line, but i find it miraculous how guys can feel comfortable pulling up from deep, but become a liability when they are shooting for free. 4. Los Angeles Lakers - Deandre Hunter The Los Angeles Lakers have to win now. What better way than drafting an NCAA Tourney winner.The Lakers have three key points this offseason: Lebron James, trades and Lonzo Ball. Lebron James needs to win now, which to me foreshadows trades as I never believed the lakers could win even a participation trophy with the semi-pro roster they assembled. No one expected Ball to not live up to his hype (I did). While Ball has a high ceiling comparable to players who have led their teams to championships, he is not ready now and the Lakers could have drafted 58 other players including a Donovan Mitchell with the potential that they’d be ready to play with James now. So for this reason either Magic Johnson is fired or Ball is traded to salvage assets. If i was an NBA exec, and the Lakers were at the table, If Ball is not on the table then i'm not giving up any assets. For this reason LA is going to have to part ways with Ball or bet on drafting a guy who can make immediate improvement. Instead of trying to surround James with shooters, LA needs to look to fill out their roster and start getting rid of some guys who are hurting their chances of contending. 5. Cleveland - Cam Reddish Cleveland can improve at the 2-5 spot with this pick. They aren't going to focus on Kevin Love, but rather continue to fill holes in their roster. Seeing as they won by drafting an underrated Colin Sexton in the previous draft, Cleveland should be drafting a two guard that can play alongside Sexton and Osman. 6. Phoenix - Darius Garland Phoenix will look to improve at the 1. While they lack in talent at the forward spot, James Jones has four young forwards under rookie contracts. Bringing in a coach like Monty Williams who has had success with the young group in Philadelphia, the young phoenix forwards - ranging in age 20-22 - will have to develop so future draft picks can be used to fill out the bench spots. 7. Chicago - Kobi White Chicago should be looking to improve at the point guard position in lu of attracting free agents. Kris Dunn has not lived up to his potential which awarded him a draft spot over younger and better players. Chicago should avoid drafting a big with this pick. Chicago needs to shift its focus on Boogie Cousins. Chicago has the best chance at landing Cousins after his future departure with the Warriors *8. Atlanta - Sekou Doumbouya * The Atlanta Hawks feels as good as any losing team could feel right about now. Well other than New Orleans. While they don’t have a top pick in a more top-heavy draft than the previous, Atlanta made one of the best picks last draft. In Trae Young, Atlanta gambled and got a guy who showed more potential in one year than guys who were drafted ahead of him. While Atlanta needs more production at the rim, Alex Len looks to be stepping into a new role. For this reason i believe Atlanta should look to improve at the 3 spot with this pick and draft Texas bigman Jaxson Hayes with the 10th pick. Taurean Prince was a member of my favorite Baylor team with Isaiah Austin back in 2013 and since Prince has been solid but not great. Prince looks to be either just about to hit his ceiling or maybe peeking over which both concerns me as he never had high potential to begin with. From Trae Young to Omari Spellman, Travis Schlenk won the lottery with every pick he made last draft. Atlanta wants to continue the hot streak by not only drafting the best player available, but also drafting good players that tend to slip on teams draft boards. 9. Washington Jarrett Culver At this point in the draft, your not going to get the elite point guards, but Washington can settle for a combo guard this draft. While they would be better off drafting a big or forward, Washington has to be looking past the John Wall era. Wall has been good for jersey sales, but back in 2016 Wall along with Grunfeld could not attract FA Kevin Durant who grew up close to the DC area. Drafting a combo guard gives Wall assurance that this is his franchise, while if they lose Wall or Beal in the next four years, at least they have the second best combo guard of the 2019 draft. 10. Atlanta (from Dallas) - Jaxson Hayes Not much to put here, Atlanta will be select 3-5 considering they need to give Huerter and Young room to develop. Considering bigs are not at the top of this top heavy draft, Atlanta will find more success with using this latter pick to select a big that no one would have taken as high as their first pick (#8) 11. Minnesota - Tyler Herro/ Brandon Clarke Scott Layden and the Minnesota staff has been some of the most patient losers. I’m sure the players aren’t happy, but Minnesota feels comfortable in the current position they're in with their young guys. Wiggins gets a $25M max. The same will happen with Karl Anthony-Towns come July when he signs his 5-year $158M rookie max extension. It’s hard to have a good attitude when your losing 4-5 years in a row, but when you are getting paid $100M to lose, that’s gotta be a pretty happy loss. So while Minnesota does not have the allure the a Los Angeles does, Wiggins and KAT should have no trouble attracting big name free agents. Layden will look to spend his #11 lottery ticket to improve at the 4 or the 1 position. Jeff Teague expressed his $20M option to run through 2020, So If Minnesota cashes in on a 4, they’ll can move Teague before the trade deadline. Teague will become the third highest paid player while being the 5th highest scoring Wolf this season. *12. Charlotte - Romeo Langford * Charlotte cant bet on Kemba Walker taking their money. At this point they should be looking at how they can help Malik Monk produce for them the way he did for Kentucky. Monk dropping 20+ points per game will be enough to attract free agents in the future. Charlotte will look to improve at the 1-3 with this pick. And at this stage the best guards available: Kevin Porter & Langford are both combo guards that lack strong PG skills. 13. Miami - PJ Washington Miami is the one team in the lottery in which needs help at every position. Miami will be hoping Culver or Garland slips as they could use a PG, but if Miami is selecting the best player available, that won't be a PG. Miami has very little money as they built their team around expiring bigman Whiteside. Although Whiteside had a terrifying run offensively and defensively dominating the NBA, it came at the worse time. Future bigs are going to need to have perimeter skills to go along with their bully ball. For this reason i like Bol Bol coupled with Adebayo, but Miami will avoid drafting a 5 and instead look to develop Bam Adebayo into a floor stretching big. So expect a trade or Andy Elisburg filling out the roster by drafting in the 2-4 positions with this pick. 14. Boston - Rui Hachimura (from Sacramento via Philadelphia) The Boston Celtics do not have needs that can be fulfilled with a #14 draft pick, unless there is another greek freak i haven’t heard about lurking around in this draft. The C’s are going to be looking to add an asset at any position. If the pick is not traded, expect for Boston to select the best available. While the C’s won’t lose both their primary facilitators, they will lose one come July and at this point in the draft any PG taken will be seen as a backup with maybe starter potential. For these reasons the best available will be Kevin Porter, although considering the current issues with the C’s team morale and Porter’s off and on the court issues, Danny Ainge for sure has Nassir Little & Rui Hachimura higher on his draft board. Feel free to share your opinions here or at OS Forum. Mock Draft 2.0 Will include possible picks for the remainder of the first round, as well as players who i believe will slip on draft day.
UCLA Football vs Texas A&M: Game Day Information – TV, Radio, Betting Line, Predictions, Stats and More foxsports Jun 30, 2017 at 10:28p ET share url email fbmsngr whatsapp sms Now, let’s find out which one of these playoff hopefuls will cover the ATS betting line! UCLA Bruins Vs Texas A&M Aggies Week 1 Spread & ATS Pick. The public is 57% on the Texas A&M Aggies to cover the college football week 1 point spread. The point spread opened at TXAM -1.5. Texas A&M (8-5 SU, 5-8 ATS) returns six starters from its 2015 squad but needs to replace three starters on the offensive line and will have a new starting quarterback in graduate transfer Trevor Knight, a dual-threat signal-caller that got beat out by Baker Mayfield at Oklahoma.Knight will be A&M’s fourth different starting quarterback in Washington State vs. UCLA Week 7 Lines & Picks; UCLA at Texas A&M Week 1 College Football Odds; UCLA vs Nebraska Foster Farms Bowl Odds Preview; With Berth in Title NCAAF Betting Game on the Line, USC Hosts UCLA in Huge Pac-12 Pairing! Utah vs UCLA College Football Odds Analysis But, Texas’ defense has been super this year only surrendering 38 points in three games. If you take that statistic and mesh it with UCLA’s so-so offense, it’s plain to see why Texas should be favored. UCLA vs Texas Spread, Line and Betting Odds: Spread: UCLA +15.5 @ Texas -15.5. Money Line: UCLA (+500) @ Texas (-700) Game Total: Over
Week 2 College Football Picks and Predictions (Oklahoma vs UCLA - Georgia vs South Carolina)
UCLA vs LSU Obstruction Call - WCWS 2017. UCLA vs LSU Obstruction Call - WCWS 2017. Skip navigation ... Lisa Fernandez Ejected UCLA Vs Texas A&M - Duration: 4:17. R.D. Hayes 1,641,073 views. In this week's episode of Bet On it direct from Las Vegas, Kelly Stewart, Marco D'Angelo, and Gianni "The Greek Gambler" break down College Football Week 14 from a sports betting perspective and ... Jan. 01, 1998. The No. 19-ranked Texas A&M football team, despite being double-digit underdogs to No. 5 UCLA, out-played and led the high-powered Bruins for much of the 62nd Southwestern Bell ... Texas A&M Aggies vs UCLA Bruins: Direct from Las Vegas, WagerTalk.com TV host Marco D’Angelo (@MarcoInVegas), Ralph Michaels (@CalSportsLV) and Bryan Leonard (@BLeonardSports) breakdown Texas A ... Texas A&M vs UCLA Highlights FOX COLLEGE FOOTBALL - Duration: 6:57. CFB ON FOX 667,281 views. 6:57. Super Bowl XXXII Elway's 1st Super Bowl Win Green Bay Packers vs. Denver Broncos NFL ...