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BeerSheets 2020-07-16 (Dan Snyder NEVER Edition)
BEERSHEETS REQUEST FORM submitted by BeerSheets to fantasyfootball [link] [comments]
Welcome to BeerSheets! Note that since things have just opened up please submit a request for your sheet and I'll try to process things over the next few days so folks have their first sheet. After that expect weekly updates through preseason. If you have any questions, the best way to reach me is via a DM to @BeerSheets
on Twitter. I can also respond here on Reddit but it's more difficult to keep track of conversations. LIKE MY SHEETS? PLEASE CONSIDER DONATING TO HELP INSPIRE KIDS TO BUILD ROBOTS! What is this?
These are cheat sheets intended to help players in both snake draft and auction drafts. It uses a combination of value based drafting combined with a few of my own calculations to establish player value, positional scarcity, auction value, and tiers. How do I get my sheet?
Click on the helpful link at the top of the post. It will direct you to a form that you can fill out. If your sheet is one of the previously generated formats it will automatically link to it, otherwise a request for a custom sheet will automatically be generated. Custom sheets are uploaded at least a week before your draft, which is why that field is included. What's new this year?
What's not new?
- I redid the entire back end in Python... which meant I had to learn Python. Basically this allows me to vastly speed up the update process and should reduce the time delay between when sheets are requested and when they're processed.
- I've reconfigured the entire sheet to improve readability. The color scheme was changed to be easier for those who are color blind, the ECR column was reformatted to make it easier to read, and I've added color coding to show where there's a significant difference between APD and ECR.
- The value section has been changed to show the floor, ceiling, and average projection for each player. This should allow you to have a better idea of what the spread of player projections are.
- I removed the historical performance column. It took up a massive amount of computational time.
- I dropped the kicker section to make DST more useful. Now for DSTs you can see what the first four weeks are.
- We're partnering with our good friends at 4for4 to help offset some of the server costs! If you subscribe to 4for4 with the coupon code BEERSHEETS we'll get a bit of money as an affiliate and you get 10% off. I've been using 4for4 for quite some time and I love their site, so this was a logical way to mitigate some of our expenses.
We're still raising funds for the robotics team! The GoFundMe
page is up and your generosity is sincerely appreciated! If the COVID-19 pandemic cancels the season the funds will go to another worthy cause such as STEM outreach charities or a local food bank. What are the calculations based on?
I use as many projections as I can find to establish a range of projected values for each player. I use a Value Based Drafting approach to calculate the player value for each projection, and then average those values to get a final number. The standard deviation of those value projections are used to determine tiers. A key component of value based drafting is establishing the baseline player, which I set based on the "player-games" method. Essentially what I do is look at how many games on average each ranked player (RB1, RB2, etc) played the following year, and how many games are needed (#Teams x #Positions x 16 Weeks). The number of players needed to produce enough games to reach the desired quantity is the baseline. The original article is gone but pattertj does a great job of covering things here
. Auction values are calculated using this method
As part of our partnership with 4for4 we're using their rankings for the DST, as well as their unique Strength of Schedule estimations to determine which opponents will be easier or harder. 4for4 offers this capability for every position and is one of my favorite features. What do the columns mean?
Player Name: The name of the player.
TM/BW: The player's team and bye week.
ECR: The player's Expert Consensus Ranking based on FantasyPros, formatted in a "round|pick" format so that you can also use it to judge ADP. In general ADP and ranking is closely correlated, and players with no formatting are taken in the same round as their ranking. Values in blue mean the ADP is more than a round before the rank. Values in orange mean the ADP is more than a round after the rank. These ADP predictions do not apply to 2QB leagues!
F, VAL, C: Player value in terms of Floor, Mean, and Ceiling. The average value of multiple projections relative to a baseline player (numbers shown in the title bar). Floor and Ceiling are the average value with the standard deviation of the projection either subtracted or added. In auction sheets these values are converted to dollar amounts.
PS: Positional Scarcity. The percentage of player value remaining in that position once that player (and all players above him) are drafted. This is the means by which you can determine the opportunity cost of selecting one position over another. What does the shading mean?
The alternating white and gray shading represents different tiers of player projections based on the distribution of values from the multiple sources I use. Tiers are groups of players whose projections overlap as a result of the mean and standard deviation of their particular data set. Individual projections are notoriously unreliable (the top experts are lucky to be right 60% of the time), so players who are shaded the same should be considered roughly comparable in value. Will you share the original data file?
Nope. Can you do a sheet for my 13 player 2QB/1RB/3W2FLX/TE/DST/2PK league with 0.314 PPR and 9 PPTD?
Fill out the form at the top of the post to request a custom sheet. I will try to get it uploaded a week before your draft. If your settings aren't in the drop-down menus click the 'Show Custom Ranges' checkmark above the Teams value. Can you do points per first down or premium TE scoring?
Since I'm converting everything over the Python, and dealing with over half a million requests each year, I won't be able to do anything outside of the sheet this time. I'm sorry, but my goal in the long run is to add that capability back in. This is awesome! These sheets help me win my league last year, and you deserve a tip! How can I throw money at you?
My workload has forced me to cut down on a lot, so just like last year I am raising funds for a high school robotics program that I mentor. Your dollars will directly help inspire students to become scientists and engineers and also help them build a 160 pound robot. Please click here if you're interested in helping, every dollar directly goes towards STEM outreach. Will you do IDP?
I would like to, but it's difficult. The problem with IDP is that there aren't a lot of projections and the tiers become massive. Will you do Dynasty?
This method doesn't work for dynasty, as the projections are only for one year. What's the best way to use this? Which categories should I pay attention to the most?
The real meat of the sheet is value and positional scarcity. What I like to do is start off with value and see which players are available within each position that have similar value. I look at tier to get a sense of how many players are "clumped" together and see if I can't get value later on. It should be noted that the tiers are not absolute; comparing the last player of one tier to the first player of the tier below him is perfectly reasonable. Look at the floor and ceiling information to get a better sense of an individual player's expectations.
Positional scarcity shows how much value is remaining in each position after a player is taken. In general you want the player with the lower PS, because there's less value remaining once that player is gone. This will also give you a sense of just how much value an individual player takes from the "pool" of points for each skill.
Rankings are a great way to determine when a player should be drafted, when that player is actually being drafted, and also differentiating between players in a tier. They're a good way to pick between players who share a tier once I've decided which skill position I want to draft. It should be noted that rankings are limited to contemporary scoring and rosters; the more nonstandard your league the less useful the rankings may be. Who else should I check out?
Let me know! I'm not sure who's back this year, so please message me or reply in the comments and I'll be sure to add them.
- Daruuk is awesome and you should definitely check out his Draft Slayer.
- NukishPhilosophy runs Fantasy Football Data Pros, a website which teaches you Python through fantasy football. I purchased the course and found it to be incredibly helpful.
The truth behind Puskás Akadémia FC - How Hungarian PM Viktor Orbán stole a legend, built a stadium in his backyard and guided his team to Europe
submitted by pogacsa_is_life to soccer [link] [comments]
The 2019/2020 season of the Hungary’s National Football League (NB1) – being one of the first leagues to restart play - came to an end on 27 June. If a casual observer (for whatever reason) decides to check out the final standings
, he would be not surprised at the first two positions: record-champion Ferencváros defended their title, while regional powerhouse Fehérvár (Videoton) came in second. However, the third place team, Puskás Akadémia FC might seem unusual and one could think that there is a story behind that.
Is there a team named after Ferenc Puskás? Did some academy youths make an incredible run for the Europa League qualification? Well, the observer is right, there is a story behind all this, but it’s absolutely not a fun story. It’s a story about how one powerful man’s obsession with football stole a legend, misused state funds and killed the spirit of Hungarian football. (Warning: this is a long story, feel free to scroll down for a tl;dr. Also, I strongly advise checking out the links, those images are worth seeing).
Naturally, political influence in football has been present ever since the dawn of the sport and we know of numerous state leaders who felt confident enough to use their influence to ensure the successful development of their favored clubs – Caucescu’s FC Olt Scornicesti
and Erdogan’s Basaksehir
are well-known examples of such attempts. However, I fear that very few of the readers are aware of the fact that Puskás Akadémia FC is nothing but Hungarian PM Viktor Orbán’s grandiose project for establishing his hometown’s club as one of the country’s top teams
. Considering that Orbán managed to achieve this goal using state funds in an EU member democracy in the 2000s, one might even say that it might be one of the most impressive attempts of cheating your way through Football Manager in real life. Now that Puskás Akadémia FC escaped the desolate football scene of Hungary and is getting ready for the European takeover, I feel that it’s high time to tell its true story.
Part 1: Part time striker, part time PM
Our story begins in 1999 when the 36-year-old striker Viktor Orbán (recently elected as the country’s Prime Minister) was signed by the sixth-tier side of Felcsút FC
residing in rural Fejér County. It might sound surprising that an active politician would consider such a side job, but given that Orbán has been playing competitive low-level football throughout his whole life and has always been known as a keen football enthusiast, people seemed to be okay with his choice for a hobby. Orbán spent most of his childhood in the village of Felcsút (population: 1,800), so it seemed only natural that he would join the team after one of his old-time acquaintances became team president there.
Orbán’s arrival to the club seemed to work like a charm as Felcsút FC immediately earned a promotion to the fifth league. The Prime Minister’s busy program did not allow him to attend every training session and game but Orbán did make an effort to contribute as much as possible on the field – there is a report of a government meeting being postponed as Orbán was unavailable due to attending Felcsút FC’s spring training camp
. The 2001/2002 season brought another breakthrough for the side as Felcsút was promoted to the national level of the football pyramid after being crowned the champion of Fejér County. Sadly enough for Orbán, he suffered a defeat on another pitch – his party lost the 2002 election and Orbán was forced to move to an opposition role. No matter what happened on the political playing field, Orbán would not abandon his club.
Just before the 2002 elections, Felcsút was surprisingly appointed as one of the regional youth development centers by the Hungarian FA. Orbán continued contributing on the field as well (he had more spare time after all) but his off-the-field efforts provided much more value for the team as he used his political influence to convince right-wing businessmen that they should definitely get sponsorship deals done with the fourth-division village team. Club management was able to transform the influx of funds into on-field success: Felcsút FC was promoted to the third division in 2004 and achieved promotion to the second division in 2005.
Although these new horizons required a skill level that an aging ex-PM is not likely to possess, Orbán regularly played as a late game sub
and even appeared in cup games against actual professional opponents. The now-42-year old Orbán did not want to face the challenge of the second division, so he retired in 2005 – but this did not stop him from temping as an assistant coach when the head coach was sacked in the middle of the 2005-2006 season.
Success on the playing field did not translate to political success: Orbán lost the elections once again in 2006. However, this was only a temporary loss: the ruling party committed blunder after blunder and by early 2007 it became absolutely obvious that Orbán would be able return to power in 2010. Now confident in his political future, Orbán opted for the acceleration of football development in Felcsút – by late 2007 he took over the presidency of the club to take matters in his own hands. Sponsors seeking to gain favor with the soon-to-be PM were swarming Felcsút FC, so the club was able to stand very strong in an era where financial stability was a very rare sight in the Hungarian football scene, accumulating three medals (but no promotion) between 2007 and 2009.
On the other hand, Orbán realized the value of youth development as well, and started a local foundation for this purpose back in 2004 that gathered funds for the establishment a boarding school-like football academy.
The academy opened its doors in September 2006 (only the second of such institutions in the country) and Orbán immediately took upon the challenge of finding an appropriate name for the academy.
He went on to visit the now very sick Ferenc Puskás in the hospital to discuss using his name, but as Puskás’ medical situation was deteriorating rapidly, communication attempts were futile. Luckily enough Puskás’ wife (and soon to be widow) was able to act on his incapable husband’s behalf and approved the naming deal in a contract. According to the statement, naming rights were granted without compensation, as “Puskás would have certainly loved what’s happening down in Felcsút
”. However, there was much more to the contract: Puskás’ trademark was handed to a sports journalist friend of Orbán
(György Szöllősi, also acting communications director of the academy) who promised a hefty annual return for the family (and also a 45% share of the revenue for himself). Ferenc Puskás eventually died on 17 November 2006 and on 26 November 2006 the football academy was named after him: Puskás Academy was born.
Orbán shared his vision of the whole organization after the opening ceremony: “It’s unreasonable to think that Felcsút should have a team in the top division. We should not flatter ourselves, our players and our supporters with this dream. Our long term ambition is the creation of a stable second division team that excels in youth development and provides opportunity for the talents of the future.”
Let’s leave that there.
Part 2: No stadium left behind Orbán became PM once again in April 2010 after a landslide victory that pretty much granted him unlimited power.
He chased lots of political agendas but one of his policies was rock solid: he would revive sports (and especially football) that was left to bleed out by the previous governments. The football situation in 2010 was quite dire: while the national team has actually made some progress in the recent years and has reached the 42nd position in the world rankings, football infrastructure was in a catastrophic state. Teams were playing in rusty stadiums built in the communist era, club finances were a mess, youth teams couldn’t find training grounds and the league was plagued by violent fan groups and lackluster attendance figures (3100 average spectators per game in the 2009/2010 season).
Orbán – aided by the FA backed by business actors very interested in making him happy – saw the future in the total rebuild of the football infrastructure. Vast amounts of state development funds were invested into the football construction industry that warmly welcomed corruption, cost escalation and shady procurement deals.
In the end, money triumphed: over the last decade, new stadiums sprung out from nothing all over the country
, dozens of new academies opened and pitches for youth development appeared on practically every corner. The final piece of the stadium renovation program was the completion of the new national stadium, Puskás Aréna in 2019 (estimated cost: 575 million EUR). Orbán commemorated this historic moment with a celebratory video on his social media that features a majestic shot of Orbán modestly kicking a CGI ball from his office to the new stadium.
Obviously, Orbán understood that infrastructure alone won’t suffice
. He believed in the idea that successful clubs are the cornerstone of a strong national side as these clubs would compete in a high quality national league (and in international tournaments) that would require a constant influx of youth players developed by the clubs themselves. However, Orbán was not really keen on sharing the state’s infinite wealth with private club owners who failed to invest in their clubs between 2002 and 2010. The club ownership takeover was not that challenging as previous owners were usually happy to cut their losses, and soon enough most clubs came under Orbán’s influence
. Some clubs were integrated deep into Orbán’s reach (Ferencváros and MTK Budapest club presidents are high ranking officials of Orbán’s party) while in other cases, indirect control was deemed sufficient (Diósgyőri VTK was purchased by a businessman as an attempt to display loyalty to Orbán).
Pouring taxpayer money into infrastructure (stadium) projects is relatively easy: after all, we are basically talking about overpriced government construction projects, there’s nothing new there. On the other hand, allocating funds to clubs that should be operating on a competitive market is certainly a tougher nut to crack. The obvious solutions were implemented: the state media massively overpaid for broadcasting rights and the national sports betting agency also pays a hefty sum to the FA, allowing for a redistribution of considerable amounts. However, given that the income side of Hungarian clubs was basically non-existent (match day income is negligible, the failed youth development system does not sell players), an even more radical solution was desperately needed. Also, there was definite interest in the development of a tool that would allow for differentiation between clubs (as in the few remaining non-government affiliated clubs should not receive extra money).
The solution came in 2011: the so-called TAO (“társasági adó” = corporate tax) system was introduced, granting significant tax deductions for companies if they offered a portion of their profits to sports clubs
– however, in theory, funds acquired through TAO can be only used for youth development and infrastructure purposes. Soon enough, it became apparent that state authorities were not exactly interested in the enforcement of these restrictions, so some very basic creative accounting measures enabled clubs to use this income for anything they wanted to. Companies were naturally keen on cutting their tax burdens and scoring goodwill with the government, so TAO money immediately skyrocketed.
Opportunistic party strongmen used their influence to convince local business groups to invest in the local clubs, enabling for the meteoric rise of multiple unknown provincial teams (Mezőkövesd [pop: 16,000], Kisvárda [pop: 16,000], Balmazújváros [pop: 17,000]) into the first division.
Although it’s not the main subject of this piece, I feel inclined to show you the actual results of Orbán’s grandiose football reform. While we do have our beautiful stadiums, we don’t exactly get them filled – league attendance has stagnated around 3000 spectators per game throughout the whole decade. We couldn’t really move forward with our national team either: Hungary lost 10 positions in the FIFA World Rankings throughout Orbán’s ten years. On the other hand, the level of league has somewhat improved – Videoton and Ferencváros reached the Europa League group stage in 2019 and 2020, respectively. Too bad that the Instat-based top team
of 2019/2020 Hungarian league consists of 10 foreigners and only 1 Hungarian: the goalkeeper.
Part 3: Small place, big game!
As seen in the previous chapter, Orbán did have a strong interest in the improvement of the football situation Hungary, but we shouldn’t forget that his deepest interest and true loyalty laid in the wellbeing of Felcsút and its academy. Now that Orbán had limitless means to see to the advancement of his beloved club, he got to work immediately.
Orbán handed over formal club management duties to his friend / protégé / middleman / businessman Lőrinc Mészáros in 2010, but no questions would ever arise of who is actually calling the shots.
First of all, no club can exist without a proper stadium.
Although in 2011 Orbán explicitly stated that “Felcsút does not need a stadium as stadiums belong to cities”,
no one was really surprised in 2012 when the construction of the Felcsút stadium was announced. Orbán was generous enough to donate the lands just in front of his summer home in the village for the project, locating the entrance a mere ten meters away from his residence. Construction works for the stunningly aesthetic 3,800-seater arena
(in a village of 1,800 people) started in April 2012 and were completed in April 2014, making Felcsút’s arena the second new stadium of Orbán’s gigantic stadium revival program.
The estimated budget of the construction was 120 million EUR (31,500 EUR / seat) was financed by the Puskás Academy who explicitly stated that they did not use government funds for the project. Technically, this statement is absolutely true as the construction was financed through the TAO money offered by the numerous companies looking for tax deduction and Orbán’s goodwill. However, technically, this means that the country’s budget was decreased by 120 million EUR unrealized tax revenue. Naturally, the gargantuan football stadium looks ridiculously out of place in the small village
, but there’s really no other way to ensure that your favorite team’s stadium is within 20 seconds of walking distance from your home.
Obviously, a proper club should also have some glorious history. Felcsút was seriously lagging behind on this matter as though Felcsút FC was founded in 1931, it spent its pre-Orbán history in the uninspiring world of the 5th-7th leagues of the country. Luckily enough, Orbán had already secured Puskás’ naming rights and they were not afraid to use it, so Felcsút FC was renamed to Puskás Academy FC in 2009. The stadium name was a little bit problematic as the Hungarian national stadium in Budapest had sadly had the dibs on Puskás’ name, so they had to settle with Puskás’ Spanish nickname, resulting in the inauguration of the Pancho Arena
. But why stop here? Orbán’s sports media strongman György Szöllősi
acted upon the contract with Puskás’ widow and transferred all Puskás’ personal memorabilia
(medals, jerseys, correspondence) to the most suitable place of all: a remote village in which Puskás never even set foot in.
While the off-field issues were getting resolved, Orbán’s attention shifted to another important area: the actual game of football. Although academy players started to graduate from 2008 on, it very soon became painfully obvious that the academy program couldn’t really maintain even a second division side for now. In 2009, Orbán reached an agreement with nearby Videoton’s owner that effectively transformed Felcsút FC into Videoton’s second team under the name of Videoton – Puskás Akadémia FC. The mutually beneficent agreement would allow Videoton to give valuable playing time to squad players while it could also serve as a skipping step for Puskás Academy’s fresh graduates to a first league team. The collaboration resulted in two mid-table finishes and a bronze medal in the second division in the following three seasons that wasn’t really impressive compared to Felcsút FC’s standalone seasons.
It seemed that the mixture of reserve Videoton players and academy youth was simply not enough for promotion, and although Orbán had assured the public multiple times that his Felcsút project was not aiming for the top flight, very telling changes arose after the 2011/2012 season. Felcsút terminated the Videoton cooperation deal and used the rapidly accumulating TAO funds to recruit experienced players for the now independently operating Puskás Academy FC (PAFC)
. The new directive worked almost too well: PAFC won its division
with a 10 point lead in its first standalone year which meant that they would have to appear in the first league prior to the completion of their brand-new Pancho Arena. Too bad that this glorious result had almost nothing to do with the academy - only two players were academy graduates of the side’s regular starting XI.
Orbán did not let himself bothered with the ridiculousness of an academy team with virtually no academy players being promoted to the first division as he stated that “a marathon runner shouldn’t need to explain why the other runners were much slower than him
”. Orbán also displayed a rare burst of modesty as he added that “his team’s right place is not in the first league, and they will soon be overtaken by other, better sides”.
The promotion of PAFC to the first division made a lot of people very angry and been widely regarded as a bad move. Supporter groups were united in hatred all along the league and not surprisingly, away fans almost always outnumbered the home side at PAFC’s temporary home at Videoton’s Sóstói Stadium (demolished and rebuilt in its full glory since then
). One of the teams, however, possessed an extraordinary degree of anger against PAFC: supporters of Budapest Honvéd – the only Hungarian team in which Ferenc Puskás played – felt especially awkward about the transfer of their club legend’s heritage to Felcsút. Tensions spiked at the PAFC – Honvéd game when home security forced Honvéd supporters to remove the “Puskás”
part of their traditional “Puskás – Kispest – Hungary” banner
– the team answered the insult with style as they secured a 4-0 victory supported by fans chanting “you can’t buy legends”.
Despite Orbán’s prognosis, other better sides did not rush to overtake his team, so PAFC, now residing in their brand new Pancho Arena, came through with a 14th and a 10th place in their first two seasons. Naturally, conspiracy theories began to formulate, speculating that government-friendly owners would certainly not be motivated to give their best against PAFC. However, as the league size was reduced to 12 for the 2015/2016 season, PAFC found themselves in a dire situation just before the final round: they needed a win and needed rival Vasas to lose against MTK in order to avoid relegation. PAFC’s draw seemed to be unlucky as they faced their arch-enemy Honvéd at home, but Honvéd displayed an absolute lackluster effort – fueling conspiracy theories – and lost the fixture 2 to 1 against a home side featuring four academy players. Vasas, however, did not disappoint, their 2-0 victory resulted in PAFC’s elimination and a very relaxed sigh all over the football community.
PAFC’s relegation seemed to be in accordance with Orbán’s 2013 statement, so public opinion supposed for a while that Orbán’s project came to a halting point and the Academy would go on to actually field academy players in the second division (especially as rostering foreign players was prohibited in the lower leagues). However, if you have read through this point, you know better than to expect Orbán to retreat – obviously, PAFC came back with a bang. With a ballsy move, PAFC didn’t even sell their foreign players, they just loaned them across the league, promising them that they would be able to return next year to the newly promoted team. The promise was kept as PAFC went into another shopping spree of experienced players (easily convincing lots of them to choose the second division instead of the first) and easily won the second league. Orbán
– now aware of his negligence – opted for the doubling the team’s budget, making PAFC the third most well-founded club in the whole country
(only coming short to his friend’s Videoton and his party minion’s Ferencváros). With an actual yearly influx from TAO money in the ballpark of 30-40 million EUR, PAFC management had to really work wonders in creative accounting in order to make their money look somewhat legitimate. The books were now full of ridiculous items like:
- Construction of a new tea kitchen for youth players for 650,000 EUR
- Construction of a new “sports and conference center” for 40 million EUR
- Employment of a 45 person “cleaning and maintenance staff” for the academy.
Naturally, in the country of no consequences, absolutely nothing happened: PAFC went on with its spending and signed 35 foreigners between 2017 and 2020. They did so because they could not hope to field a winning team in the first league consisting of academy players
, despite the fact that Puskás Academy has been literally drowning in money since 2007. This seems to somewhat contradict Orbán’s 2013 promise, stating that “Puskás Academy will graduate two or three players to major European leagues each year”.
To be fair, there have been players who managed to emerge to Europe (well, exactly two of them: Roland Sallai plays at Freiburg, László Kleinheisler played at Werder Bremen) but most academy graduates don’t even have the slightest the chance to make their own academy’s pro team as it’s full of foreigners and more experienced players drawn for other teams’ programs.
Despite their unlimited funding, PAFC could not put up a top-tier performance in their first two years back in the first division, finishing 6th and 7th in the 12-team league. Many speculated that the lack of support, motivation and even a clear team mission did not allow for chemistry to develop within the multinational and multi-generational locker room. Consistency was also a rare sight on the coaching side: club management was absolutely impatient with coaches who were very easily released after a single bad spell and there were talks of on-field micromanagement request coming from as high as Orbán.
Even so, their breakthrough came dangerously close in 2018 as PAFC performed consistently well in the cup fixtures and managed to reach the final. Their opponent, Újpest played an incredibly fierce game and after a 2-2 draw, they managed to defeat PAFC in the shootout. Football fans sighed in relief throughout the country as ecstatic Újpest supporters verbally teased a visibly upset Orbán in his VIP lounge
about his loss.
Obviously, we could only delay the inevitable. While this year’s PAFC side seemed to be more consistent than its predecessors, it seemed that they won’t be able to get close to the podium - they were far behind the obvious league winner duo of Ferencváros and Videoton and were trailing third-place Mezőkövesd 6 points just before the pandemic break. However, both Mezőkövesd and PAFC’s close rivals DVTK and Honvéd fall flat after the restart while PAFC was able to maintain its good form due to its quality roster depth. PAFC overtook Mezőkövesd after the second-to-last round as Mezőkövesd lost to the later relegated Debrecen side. (Mezőkövesd coach Attila Kuttor was fined harshly because of his post-game comments on how the FA wants PAFC to finish third.)
PAFC faced Honvéd in the last round once again, and as Honvéd came up with its usual lackluster effort, PAFC secured an effortless win, confidently claiming the third place
. PAFC celebrated their success in a nearly empty stadium
, however neither Orbán, nor Mészáros (club owner, Orbán’s protégé, now 4th richest man of Hungary) seemed to worry about that. While Orbán high-fived with his peers in the VIP lounge, Mészáros was given the opportunity to award the bronze medals (and for some reason, a trophy)
to the players dressed up in the incredibly cringe worthy T-shirts that say “Small place, big game!”.
Big game, indeed: in the 2019/2020 season, foreign players’ share of the teams playing time was 43.6% while academy graduates contributed only 17.9%.
On Sunday evening, less than 24 hours after PAFC’s glorious success, György Szöllősi, now editor-in-chief of Hungary’s only sports newspaper (purchased by Orbán’s affiliates a few years back) published an editorial on the site, stating that “the soccer rebuild in Felcsút became the motor and symbol of the revitalization of sport throughout the whole country
”. Well, Szöllősi is exactly right: Felcsút did became a symbol, but a symbol of something entirely different. Felcsút became a symbol of corruption, inefficiency, lies and the colossal waste of money.
But, hey, at least we know now: you only need to spend 200 million EUR (total budget of PAFC and its academy in the 2011-2020 period) if you want to have a Europa League team in your backyard. Good to know!
Epilogue: What's in the future?
As there is no foreseeable chance for political change to happen Hungary
(Orbán effortlessly secured qualified majority in 2014 and 2018, and is projected to do so in 2022 as well), PAFC’s future seems to be as bright as it gets. Although consensus opinion now seems to assume that Orbán does not intend to interfere with the Ferencváros – Videoton hegemony, we can never be really sure about the exact limits of his greed. One could also argue that entering the European theater serves as a prime opportunity for making splashy transfers who could be the cornerstones of a side challenging the league title.
However, as all political systems are deemed to fall, eventually Orbán’s regime will come apart. Whoever will take upon the helm after Orbán, they will certainly begin with cutting back on the one item on Orbán’s agenda that never had popular support: limitless football spending. Puskás Academy, having next to zero market revenue, will not be able to survive without the state’s life support, so the club will fold very shortly. The abandoned, rotting stadium in Felcsút will serve as a memento of a powerful man who could not understand the true spirit of football.
But let’s get back to present day, as we have more pressing issues coming up soon: PAFC will play their first European match in the First qualifying round of the Europa League
on 27 August. We don’t have a date for the draw yet, but soon enough, a team unaware of the whole situation will be selected to face the beast. I hope that maybe one of their players does some research and maybe reads this very article for inspiration. I hope that the supporters of this club get in touch with Honvéd fans who would be eager to provide them with some tips on appropriate chants. I hope that other teams gets drawn as the home team so Orbán wouldn’t get the pleasure of walking to his stadium for an international match. But most importantly, I very much hope that this team obliterates PAFC and wipes them off the face of the earth.
5-0 will suffice, thank you.
And if this team fails to do that, we don’t have to worry yet. Due to our shitty league coefficient, PAFC would need to win four fixtures in a row. And that – if there’s any justice in this world – is a thing that can’t, that won’t happen. Ball don’t lie – if I may say. TL,DR
Hungarian PM Viktor Orbán redirected some 200 million EUR of taxpayer money over 10 years to fuel his ambition of raising a competitive football team in his hometown of 1,800 people. He built a 3,800-seater stadium in his backyard, expropriated football legend Ferenc Puskás’ trademarks and heritage and built up a football league where almost all clubs are owned by his trustees. His team, Puskás Akadémia FC was originally intended to be a development ground for youth players graduating from Orbán’s football academy, but eventually the team became more and more result-orianted. Finally, a roster full of foreign and non-academy players came through and finished third in the league, releasing this abomination of a team to the European football theatre. Please, knock them out asap!
2019 One of the Greatest Miami Dolphins Seasons Ever!
2019 One of the Greatest Miami Dolphins Seasons Ever! submitted by ronsone to miamidolphins [link] [comments]
“Whoa! That is a big statement! Winning five games should not be counted as a great season to anyone” I hear you shout at your screens.
But look, these were not just any old 5 wins, in any of the old greatest Miami Dolphins seasons ever discussions!
Ok, ok, excluding the Perfect season and the other Superbowl seasons, those deep Marino led playoff runs and the wildcat season oh and the mighty D seasons of the late 90’s/early 2000’s. The wild cat year? I knew it could not last (it was a gimmick)? Gases 10-6 season? I was duped to be fair. I still stand by the statement “2019 being one of the greatest Miami Dolphins seasons ever”.
Firstly, a little about me. I am from the UK and first started watching the beautiful brutal game way back in 1984. The games were on in the early hours of the morning at 14 years of age, I had to sneak downstairs (we only had one TV in those days) and watch the game of the week on Channel 4 (yes, back then we only had four channels). Watching games with the volume down (so my parents couldn’t hear me), was tough but the excitement and the “violence” was new to me unlike rugby the speed was immense, my eyes darting around the screen trying to locate the ball. Those same eyes came to hate the horrible Mondays in school, where I was falling asleep, but this new game (new to me) with bright colours fanfare and cheerleaders made it all worth it. Getting to watch teams like the Bears, Redskin, Raiders, and 49ers (what was a 49er? I could only imagine some behemoth gold digger with huge hands and gap teeth). English football teams seemed rubbish by comparison, we had the “Blues” “the “Reds” or worse the “Canary’s” or the “Magpies” hardly the type of names to instill fear in your opponents. In those early days, I had not decided on a team to follow, would it be the Lions or Bengals (with the cool, tiger stripes on their helmet) or those New York footballing Giants? I just could not decide but come January 1985, that changed, I “snook” downstairs to watch this thing called a Superbowl, the team in white, a team called the Dolphins v the team in red those behemoth 49ers. As the game progressed, I wanted that team in white to come back and win, sadly, as we all know, that never happened but I felt it was my duty to see if that team in white could win it all next year. After all, they had a “quarterback” named Dan Marino who not only wore no.13, to f**k with the footballing Gods but made throwing the football look magical as well as being supposedly the best young quarterback in football. So, I became a lifelong Dolphin fan, and imagine how my affiliation for this team grew when I found out they had the ONLY perfect season. The year I was born!! I was meant to be a Dolphin fan!
So, back to that great 2019 season, I know some out there have already scoffed at the title and not bothered to read, which is shame because I’m hoping to show everyone why I think it was one of the best ever.
Let us go back to the beginning and relive it together.
New coach, new beginning, haven’t we heard that before? See, being a Dolfan, we were spoilt we had the great Don Shula (RIP) for what seemed like ever and we won consistently with perhaps only the Packers, Steelers, Cowboys, and the Patriots with the same luxury. Yes, occasionally we would drop a 6-10 or 8-8 season but those years we had excuses, an “injury” or we were unlucky against a bad team or two. But after Shula, we fell into the trap of the lower teams the ones not worthy to be in the same sentence as the Dolphins. that trap was inconsistency in the head role, did we love Jimmy Johnson really? (yes, we felt he could win us a Superbowl) but to me he replaced our mini deity. Ok, Shula had some issues like, why, why, why keep Tom Olivadotti around? I had a hard time understanding that (frankly still do), anyway love him or hate him Johnson built a good foundation then buggered off. Dave Wannstedt next, hmmm, even though his tough running program would eventually be good enough for second most wins for a head coach in Dolphins history and our first division title in the 2000s, we just did not have the same feeling for him.
Then it spiraled out of control • Jim Bates • Nick Satan • Cam Camuuurgghhron (thank you Camarillo) • Tony Sparano – RIP • Todd Bowles • Joe “wet lettuce” Philbin • Dan Campbell – My choice for the next full-time head coach, sadly not to be • Adam “Stare through a wall” Gase
A sorry bunch, no wonder we only had two winning seasons with that lot.
After all the “new head coach, new beginnings bullsh*t over the years, forgive me, if I wasn’t waving the flags for this “new beginning”. After all, how many 7-9/8-8 seasons do you have to go through, before you become cynical?
Brian Flores – new coach bringing, a wining attitude and new culture blah blah blah. Win big year one, then disappear like most of the others. I suppose I was happy we had addressed the minority coaching element. Yeah, sure, and he just helped coach that Pats defense in the Superbowl! Again, yeah, OK. Something a little different than all the Offensive minded geniuses that have come and gone over Don Shula express way piqued my interest but I certainly had lost hope that Cowher would come out of retirement, so here we go again.
Preseason woes I understood the jettisoning of older talent. Sorry, I loved Cameron Wake, I liked Kristian Alonso and Kenny Stills, but we needed a fresh start. I liked this approach, I liked the fact we were tearing it down and starting again, for the first time in over 20 years I had some optimism. I knew this coming season would be tough but at last, not the same old “overpay for a couple of names” and hope for the best approach. To be honest, I was thinking, why Stills and not Devante Parker? Weren’t you? Minkah Fitzpatrick, shocked me but hey if you do not like it here, there is the door. Laremy Tunsil? Hmmmm, not sure what is happening, let us see how it all plays out I thought.
When the preseason rolled around and new faces were churning through., I still felt its was a good thing, knew there would be painful things to come and could not understand the media giving Flores a whooping “he’s putting players lives in danger” etc. I wanted to give this guy a chance, we were finally doing something different.
Tank for Tua or Fitzmagic? I never understood the whole tanking notion. No one plays to lose and even if the coaches were coaching to lose, individual players own pride would force them to go against the coaching. I just do not get it!! No one player can change a franchise fortunes, yes, the great ones are instrumental in a franchise’s direction, but you need fifty plus players to play this game (Eighty if your Miami). Quarterbacks do not block for kicks, do not play in a 3 deep cover shells, and rarely catch their own throws. I had seen too many franchise’s push all their chips in, on a number one quarterback draft pick only to flame out and be right back where they were three years later. Was I concerned about our QB situation? Dam right, we had an unproven Josh Rosen and an aging Ryan Fitzpatrick, that could not win over 16 games. My thoughts were Fitzpatrick for 4-6 games and Rosen all the way.
Boy was I wrong.
But still, I liked what we had done, created massive cap space, acquired a sh*t load of draft picks and we would probably end up with the no. 1 pick as well. Bring the hurt, next year’s our year!
Week 1 v Ravens – 0-1 FUGLY is the only word that can be put here. Nothing to be happy about, apart from not being shut out! (I hate it when, we cannot even muster a field goal) Jason Sanders put our first points of the new season up with a 54-yard field goal. Then later some kid wide receiver called Preston Williams, scored a wonderful toe tapping 6-yard TD. The rest of the game, we will just leave behind us shall we.
Not getting shutout felt like a blessing and that undrafted free agent wide receiver showed a little. Come on guys? what did we really expect. We had newly signed offensive lineman and defensive backs playing their first NFL snaps ever! It has been reported since that half the players did not even know each other’s names for heaven’s sake.
Week 2 v Patriots – 0-2 See above but worse!! My pet peeve we did not even get a single score. Come on are we really that bad? Absofudginlutley! Bad, bad, bad game but come on, typically for us, the only game Antonio Brown plays for the Patriots is against us!
102 points given up in two weeks, how is this one of the greatest seasons in Miami history you ask? Well that is all part of it. These lows were low, like snake belly low. Somehow, I felt like this was part of the plan? Was this what tanking for Tua looked like? How would we turn it around? Fitzpatrick was being Fitzpatrick. Rosen, Rosen, Rosen, we chanted in unison. Rosen’s going to come in and light it up, I thought. Yes, massive lows but still I had optimism
Week 3 v Cowboys – 0-3 Another drubbing but signs of some life were showing, Rosen was in, though not great he seemed to be able to handle it, no interceptions even though he like Fitz before him was running for his life most of the time and we also held them to 31 points. Was there improvement? No, not much.
It was around this time the “takes no talent” war cry came into my consciousness. I had seen it all over the years, no more “fail forwards” or copied “winners within” bull, please.
I’d seen it mentioned through the preseason but watching this team I started to hear the “it takes no talent” mentioned where coaches ran with their groups, I saw the early buds of accountability show through, not the fake accountability that Gase talked about. I saw actual accountability DB’s holding their hand up owning blowen assignments, not the pointing fingers, I saw a really bad O line start to fight through to the whistle. Yep, losing felt awful for this storied franchise, especially the way we were losing but I felt this is going somewhere. Didn’t you?
Flores was growing on me.
Week 4 v Chargers – 0-4 Hmmm, liked seeing Walton out there he looked good in his little time on the field, Grant’s good return would have been great if a penalty had not brought it back. As for Rosen, doubts were forming in my mind. Yes, a fairy tale ending would have seeing him doing great things, but his play was erratic, and that interception was UUggllyyyy. On a high note, Parker and Williams were both starting to shine, and it was our second game with only allowing 30 points.
I couldn’t complain, I knew this first month would be tough, but we had a bye week coming and the Redskins were next, I felt we could take the Redskins and get our first win, excitement building, FINS UP.
Week 5 bye week
Week 6 v Redskins - 0-5 Bring it on! This is our week! Two winless teams, my excitement for the “takes no talent” crew against a poor Redskins team was palatable. Then BUMP! Down to earth like a stone, Rosen was like a scared kid, sacked a bunch and those picks. Fitzmagic, Fitzmagic, Fitzmagic! We chanted, oh’ how fickle we fans are. After watching our defense playing its best and Fitz back in the fold, doing his thing we were on the up. Flores deciding to go for two points was gutsy, showing belief in his players and a belief in the “process”. Maybe if we had tied that game with momentum on our side, for sure we would have won. But he went for it all and the skins knew they got away with one.
Week 7 v Buffalo 0-6 Our AFC East rivals always give us a game and we were ready! The excitement that Fitz brought from the previous week was still coursing through my blood with names rising through the ranks like Walton, Williams, Gesicki and Parker on offense and Mcmillan,, Wilkins, Biegel and Charlton on defense things were looking up. I honestly felt good, we were 0 -6 but it was coming together, and our play was improving.
Week 8 v Steelers 0-7 We traded Drake. Walton must be the guy now? The coaches must see something, maybe it was the fumbles for Drake? This season is weird every week there is a new name for the defense and O line and now it seems a new runner. The game: We were winning! Can you believe it! We are out in front against the steel curtain, alright not the “real” steel curtain but you know where I am coming from. It was Fitz v Fitz, their Fitz, our old Fitz won this battle. “tosser” (English for w**ker) with our Fitz throwing two picks, that gives me fits! A weird call from the defense allowing for a Pittsburgh touch down allowed us a great glimpse into Flores mindset. Flores response “We can second guess a lot of calls. I am not going to second guess that one. I thought we had success with the call, and they made a play." Competitive and a true belief into the process. I am really starting to like our coach. 0-7 never felt so good.
You could feel we are ready to start winning, we were close, so close. Watching no names start to play ball, seeing defensive lineman Christin Wilkins in the endzone every time we scored on offense was fun! Watching other teams rejects perform at a high level was infectious! We are doing something that never has been done before, yes there have been tear downs and rebuilds before but nothing on this scale and now we were being competitive too!
Week 9 v FTJ 1-7 The ol’ enemy, why we hate the Jets more than anyone else I’m not quite sure. They have never kept us from the Superbowl’s of the early 90’s like the Bills had and they haven’t dominated the division like the Pats either. I blame Marty Lyons and Jason Klecko for taking the best center in football Dwight Stephenson down. Yes, the Jets, we just do not like em!
What a game, our first win of the season, over the FTJs and one in the all staring eyes of Gase.
With some great plays from Gesicki, Williams (sadly Williams was injured in this game) Beigel and Needham, who for an undrafted free agent that may or may not have made it on to the practice squad in other years has really been improving each week. This was our first complete game and though not perfect we had one in the win column 1-9.
Hearing complaints that the Dolphins were not tanking right (incredulously chuckling to myself while I type this), can you believe it?
Week 10 v Colts - 2-7 8 beers, large bag of bacon crisps (potato chips to you guys) I am all in for this one. After last week’s game, the talk all week, the Indianapolis Colts will bring the Dolphins down to earth and the tank was still on. Where do we begin?
Defense, defense, DEEEE FENCE, with 3 turnovers and a stout end to the game the D kept us in it all day, on one particular interception I found myself shout “YES, PARKER, YES!! Then asking myself “Parker? Who the hells Parker? I had to check that Miami had not done a Gronk special and put Devante Parker out there but another new defensive back Stephen Parker had made a great play in the secondary! That is just how this season is rolling, unknowns stepping up and doing things that “takes no talent” (I use this on my kids now, honestly). I now am in awe of how a 37-year-old QB can move and run and duck and slide go headfirst into defenders. I hold my breath each time, thinking, get up son, get up! And he duly does with his chin strap over eyes and the beard flowing everywhere. This season is now fully infectious (bad choice of words considering the year we are having) but this was last year, and I am loving it!
Two wins, feels like 10. We are competitive, with everyone saying we should not be, everyone apart from Flores who all year talked with belief that they were sticking to the process. THE PROCESS WAS WORKING!
Week 11 v Bills - 2- 8 This game brought us back to an ugly reality, we can win but we are not quite fully there yet. Did any of us really think we would go 3 in row?
The score line seemed remarkably similar to the last game v the Bills, but the stats were not. Fitz threw for over 300 yards and Parker (the Devante one) caught 135 of them. Another player who I feel could do some great things used right, is Jakeem Grant and he showed us that explosive talent with a kick return, which to me is the single most exciting play in football (please don’t replace the kick off NFL) he then added a seven yard TD run as well as three catches. I am loving seeing him in the endzone surrounded by everyone at least a foot taller than him (I’m 5’5) go Grant!!
Week 12 v Browns 2 - 9 The Browns game was a strange game to me, all the euphoria of wining a couple of games and the recent good play seemed to fizzle out a bit in this game and it is the game I least remember. Jarvis Landry makes me cry. He scored two touchdowns against us, but I loved him when he played for us. His energy and physical play were awesome, and I would have loved to see him retire a Dolphin for life, with all the team receiving records but alas it was not meant to be.
Week 13 v Eagles - 3 - 9 Was not looking forward to this game, really needed to see the life return to the team, needed to feel renewed but to be honest I expected a hammering. So, to my surprise a bunch of cast off’s, undrafted free agents, a couple of rookies with just a sprinkle of seasoned vets put a beat down on a recent Superbowl champion, YES!! that’s my Piggin team, right there!! GO FINS!
Fitz played a great game throwing high point balls to Gesicki and Parker all day, along with three TDs. It was also time for the intern, another running back Patrick Laird was proving he could be counted on and finally we saw a glimpse of the old Albert Wilson who has quietly come on late in the season after last year’s injury. Of course, we will never forget the Mountaineer Shot! Haack threw an under-arm throw to the waiting Sanders in the back of the endzone what a play! What a formation! what the hell!! That was audacious! It ranks right up there with the other great Miami’s moments, the Miami Miracle, the Wildcat, the Clock Play, the Sea of Hands and Longest Game, you name em!
Did I mention I was really starting to like our coach!
Week 14 v FTJ - 3 -10 A team that was supposed to flop badly, who had no chance of winning a single game, a team of deadbeat and losers, anyway enough about the Jets. There we were, sitting right there with three big juicy wins. Honestly, at this point in the season, I am more excited for the upcoming game than I had been in years. We had so much to like, an aging QB journeyman, playing some of his best ball in years, a budding superstar at wide receiver, a genuine threat at tight end and a defense playing with “out any talent” and as we already know it “takes no talent”. But with all that said and done, we were coming into the dreaded December! 30 years ago, December was our month, especially at home. Lately it has seemed like December was our Achilles heel. How many times did we need one win in December? How many times where we stood with 7 wins in our pocket only to walk away with those same 7 wins? How many seasons wasted because we panned out in December? I hated December and low and behold, a game we Couda, Shouda Woulda won, we lose by a single point to those stinking Jets.
Week 15 v NY Giants - 3 -11 Staying up north, we faced a NY Giants team that hadn’t done sh*t all year, with a better roster than ours may I add but this was Mannings day and the whole team rallied around him (even though I’m sure he was trying to lose with all those picks) but we just couldn’t get over the “last home game for Manning” hype. I am not too upset about this, after all it was Manning that twice denied Brady & co, let him have this one in lieu of saving the 72-perfect season for us I thought.
Those dreaded December blues were kicking in though. It would have been a shame to flame out like so many teams of the past.
Week 16 v Bengals – 4 - 11 I had ordered pizza in, beers were chilled. I thought no way are we going to lose to the Bungals! (well, I actually prayed we would not lose to the Bungals)
WE WON? WE WON!! In December! yeah! “Ok, calm down, it was against the Bungals”, I can hear you thinking but come on, what a game, the two worst teams put on the best show this Sunday (tanking my backside). We came back from a couple of down weeks and showed that this team, this organization is now different from previous years, there was no “not playing for this coach” or “we’re not good enough” mentality anymore. There is a pick ourselves up and let us keep working attitude and I love that.
Good game from Fitz and his magic with a “big man” TD for Wilkins, yep you read it right, Christian Wilkins the defense end, Wilkins joined William "The Refrigerator" Perry as the only rookie defensive linemen with a touchdown reception in the Super Bowl era (and to see him celebrate was so much fun, love it!). Parker, Gesicki and most of all Albert Wilson who looked exactly like he did before he was injured. Our defense was playing lights out till the 4th quarter. Then we had an implode and I thought, as did all of us “here we go again” but into overtime we managed to get the wining field goal and we galloped away with a sneaky but well deserved win.
As a fan, that game gave you everything you’d want, the thrills of an offense, rolling to its own tune, a defense playing tough, the dreaded completed onside kick and finally on to the field goal to seal the win. Our ““fourth”” win of the season!
Do not forget the fans singing happy birthday that day to the” Jaw” Mr. Shula at the 72 reunion. What a day to be a Fins fan! I was all in, on the “process”.
Week 17 v Patriots – 5 - 11 You want a fair tale ending?
Well alright, I will give you one. Miami beating New England in their own back yard to finish the season 5 – 11 (feels like 11-5). How about them apples! Pats fans. We had not beaten the Patriots at home since 2008 (I do not even know how that is possible)? But yep, this win was the proverbial cherry on top. Our man Fitz led a final drive to take the win and give us all, lots to celebrate A. Our fifth win B. Force the Pats into third place (no home field advantage for later in the playoffs) C. Ruin Tom Brady’s final regular season game, with a little extra help from our very own Mr. Rowe’s early pick six!
Two massive wins in late December and the last one probably the sweetest of them all. Man, what a season, probably one of the greatest in Miami’s history wouldn’t you agree?
How does that make you feel? I feel like, this last season is the turning point for our next decade. Yes, there’s lots variables injuries, trades, rookies not panning out but to think we can win five (could easily been six or seven) with the squad we had. To feel like we finally have some direction. To see players, respond to a coach in the right way, I would say the futures bright, the futures aqua, white, and orange!
Thoughts on the future Brian Flores Have I mentioned I like this guy, we have had enough of the one hit wonders, the, lets all be friends and the downright letdowns at the head coach position, haven’t we? I think, Brian Flores is fair but hard and every report says the players like him, so yeah, he has got four more years and I would like to see those extended after those four years, if we are still trending in the right direction. Am I expecting Superbowl’s? of course I am, I’m a fan but realistically, playoff runs, consistency and an identity would suffice, just some overall stability. Bringing back the glory days, where we are in the conversation come January for a few years, A HOPE, A CHANCE, that is what fans want. A feeling that this could be our year (every year) not having to deal with the December blues, certainly not watching our division rivals every January while we lament another year of what if’s, that is for sure.
Players I would like to see in the Pro-bowl next year
Ryan Fitzpatrick – Hold on, “not Tua?” I here you say. I love Tua and the fact we did not tank and still got him is great. And yes, he could play next year, he’s certainly a more gifted athlete than Fitz but Fitz as something else, the IT factor, I would like to see him get us into the play off hunt, have a final great season and get a Pro-bowl nod then ride off into the sunset.
Matt Breida- Love his speed and it would be great if he became our feature back and puts up Pro-bowl type numbers this year Devante Parker – Well this is obvious; I would love to see him continue and get some recognition
Albert Wilson – I know some people think he’s a bust but when healthy this guy makes plays, I saw so many times, how he would give a move on someone and gain more YAC , don’t sleep on Wilson next year.
Mike Geiciki – See Parker above, he is ready to truly breakout and with more consistency from the QB position, he can make it
Ted Karras – Yes, the center, it would be great! he becomes the leader of our offensive line and it would piss Pats fans off too!
Christian Wilkins – This kid showed enough for me to think he can play up to his draft status and get in
E. Ogbah/ S Lawson – Either of these guys going to the Pro-bowl next year bodes well for our defense
Jerome Baker – He may get lost with all the new linebackers coming in but with his range, it would be great to see him get a ticket too
Kyle Van Noy – The big name at linebacker, I hope he is worth it and plays lights out all year
X Howard/ B Jones – Why not? We could potentially have the best one-two cornerbacks in the league, I would watch the Pro-bowl just to see those two white Dolphins helmets on either side of the field at the same time.
I know realistically not all those guys will get in, but any combination would be great
Players I hope continue to grow on our team
Tua Tagovailoa – Yes it would be great if he starts straight away but see “fits for Pro Bowl” above, I would be happy to see him learn and show up in spot duty giving us glimpse of what he can do and getting us hyped for 2021
Patrick Laird – Our intern, love his speed and elusiveness and it would be great if he became our primary backup to brier (I know we have Jordan) but Jordan has a different running style. Hopefully, Laird can put up decent numbers
Jakeem Grant – Probably my favorite player, please stay healthy & please keep returning kicks for TD’s. I hope Brian Flores and Chan Gailey have some ideas on how to use him in our offense properly, he could be our Tyreek hill with good coaching and the right scheme.
Austin Jackson – I hope this rookie gets it and quick, him and Hunt would be great, if they can play for ten years maybe becoming our new Richmond Webb and Keith Sims combo? Davon Godchaux - I know some of you will be saying he is already established but it would be great if he continues maybe he could be a Pro-bowler this year?
Vince Beigel – I loved this guy’s motor from last year and I really hope he does not lose out on reps with all the new additions at linebacker
Nik Needham – This is another player like Beigel that I’m rooting for, to me, his name was coming up all season (some not great) but most of it solid play and again I hope he doesn’t lose on out reps due to other players that have joined the team.
Erick Rowe – He moved around last year filling in where needed but with a full year at safety it would be great to see him evolve his game to the next level
Come back players Preston Williams – If he can come back and at least be the same player as last year, we can all expect big things from this undrafted player
Bobby McCain – Is he a slot guy or a safety? It would be nice to see him really get his teeth in to one role that would really benefit the team
Andrew Van Ginkel – Was injured for most of the year but managed to comeback late in the season. It will be interesting to see if he can fit and keep a roster space, he did flash at times, so, here is hoping.
Well there you have it, my breakdown of one the greatest seasons in Miami history, a season full of highs and lows, despair, and incredulities. This team showed the media types that they have no idea what goes on under the bonnet of an NFL team.
We as fans, finally had season worth investing in and we should have genuine hope that we have turned the corner. A season, that saw us break records both good and bad, a season that will live long in the memories, lasting longer than any other in recent times.
A 5 -11 season that does not leave us dreading next year but has given us instead, a euphoric sense of pride and anticipation for what next year brings. I for one feel the best about this team since Ricky Williams 1800 yards season! Yes, we have been given hope before only to be let down, but I do not get that sense this time around. Do you?
Thanks for reading.
Do schools change your chance of getting drafted?
submitted by whalethrowaway857 to CFB [link] [comments]
The U.S. News & World Report's Rankings for Best Football Schools*
*Not actually affiliated with U.S. News & World Report
Scroll to the bottom to skip the technical details
The draft always raises a simple question to me and my friends, if I'm a talented player does the college I pick really matter? There are plenty of arguments about which schools are the best football schools in the nation if they are really blue blood programs. However, most of this is founded on national championship and team success, with a fair bit of media bias thrown in as well. Most high school football players don't make the NFL, so what does a quantative analysis about a high school player's choice in college say about their chance to go pro?
To answer this question, we first pulled all historic data of NFL players using Pro Football Reference, as well as the top 1000 high school prospects from 2002-2015 using 247 Sports. To find if a high school prospect made the NFL, we check for a match in the NFL list of players with the same name (that started in the NFL between 3-6 years after their high school graduation year). This is probably not a purely perfect system, but some amount of fact checking has shown it to be good enough.
From there, we create a simple "model" to figure out each prospects baseline chances of making the NFL. This adjustment is necessary because higher ranked prospects are obviously more likely to make it to the NFL regardless of what school they go to, and are also more likely to be selected by blue blood programs with a strong record. To "model" this baseline likelihood for each rank, we take the average rate a player makes the NFL for a window around each rank. Why do windowing? Because we only have data for 14 players (one for each year) per rank, and that sample is too small to get an accurate estimate. However, we believe that the surrounding ranks represent players of similar skill and can be used in the estimate of the likelihood of making the NFL. In short, in most years, the difference between the number 1 ranked WR and the number 2 ranked WR is probably not drastic, so they can be binned together.
Our predictions can be found in this graph
as the dotted blue line. For number one high school prospects, the baseline chance of making the NFL is over 80%. This drops steadily until around rank 100 and seems to taper off to about a 10% chance of making the NFL. Importantly, it seems that our model isn't biased at any particular rank by overpredicting or underpredicting the likelihood of making the NFL the way a linear model might.
Now, for the final trick, we find the difference between each prospect making the NFL or not and their projected probability using our model above. This becomes the "Additional Benefit" that a school provides, maybe through its strong coaching, good connections, talent development, or payoffs to refs. Whatever it is, its a quantitative measurement of how much the school added or subtracted to a player's baseline chance of making the NFL coming out of high school.
We can then sort these schools by the average additional benefit they give to their players, filtering out schools that did not send a statistically significant amount of players to the NFL (i.e. 30 players to the NFL since 2000).
|School ||CountRecruits ||AdditionalBenefit ||ActualNflProb |
|Ohio State ||224 ||0.0972353 ||0.379464 |
|Penn State ||210 ||0.0685255 ||0.27619 |
|Wisconsin ||177 ||0.0671343 ||0.231638 |
|Clemson ||227 ||0.065341 ||0.277533 |
|Stanford ||196 ||0.0622576 ||0.255102 |
|Miami ||248 ||0.0612245 ||0.310484 |
|Florida ||276 ||0.05377 ||0.347826 |
|USC ||252 ||0.0505501 ||0.384921 |
|LSU ||305 ||0.048175 ||0.301639 |
|Iowa ||139 ||0.0461087 ||0.223022 |
|Purdue ||117 ||0.0454173 ||0.196581 |
|Alabama ||286 ||0.0447078 ||0.314685 |
|Notre Dame ||264 ||0.0432898 ||0.291667 |
|Illinois ||144 ||0.0421896 ||0.208333 |
|Maryland ||174 ||0.0406062 ||0.218391 |
|Georgia ||290 ||0.033312 ||0.289655 |
|Michigan ||268 ||0.0314975 ||0.264925 |
|UCLA ||234 ||0.0294421 ||0.24359 |
|Oregon ||203 ||0.0286179 ||0.231527 |
|Boise State ||70 ||0.0275763 ||0.157143 |
|San Diego State ||61 ||0.0274509 ||0.163934 |
|Washington ||203 ||0.0271218 ||0.206897 |
|Nebraska ||216 ||0.026173 ||0.203704 |
|Louisville ||141 ||0.0255309 ||0.184397 |
|Connecticut ||37 ||0.024976 ||0.162162 |
|California ||182 ||0.0244089 ||0.214286 |
|Oklahoma ||264 ||0.0236414 ||0.268939 |
|Rutgers ||138 ||0.0207261 ||0.188406 |
|Northwestern ||124 ||0.0175792 ||0.153226 |
|Toledo ||35 ||0.0152627 ||0.142857 |
|Virginia ||187 ||0.0123767 ||0.197861 |
|Indiana ||91 ||0.0102069 ||0.142857 |
|Florida State ||270 ||0.00908865 ||0.292593 |
|Michigan State ||190 ||0.00747498 ||0.178947 |
|Fresno State ||45 ||0.00310076 ||0.133333 |
|Auburn ||271 ||2.48289e-05 ||0.217712 |
|Tennessee ||262 ||-0.00261421 ||0.229008 |
|South Carolina ||238 ||-0.00626309 ||0.189076 |
|Virginia Tech ||210 ||-0.00660753 ||0.171429 |
|Arkansas ||226 ||-0.00674162 ||0.163717 |
|Missouri ||196 ||-0.00865593 ||0.158163 |
|Vanderbilt ||120 ||-0.00946914 ||0.133333 |
|Arizona State ||193 ||-0.0122685 ||0.150259 |
|Pittsburgh ||188 ||-0.0130439 ||0.154255 |
|TCU ||160 ||-0.0143112 ||0.13125 |
|Boston College ||153 ||-0.0144981 ||0.143791 |
|Utah ||105 ||-0.0154327 ||0.12381 |
|Georgia Tech ||169 ||-0.017119 ||0.136095 |
|Texas ||282 ||-0.0188609 ||0.258865 |
|Wake Forest ||90 ||-0.0203428 ||0.111111 |
|Oregon State ||125 ||-0.0209483 ||0.128 |
|SMU ||63 ||-0.021339 ||0.111111 |
|USF ||101 ||-0.0227299 ||0.128713 |
|North Carolina ||226 ||-0.024601 ||0.154867 |
|Texas Tech ||173 ||-0.0277343 ||0.132948 |
|Louisiana Tech ||42 ||-0.0282686 ||0.0952381 |
|Brigham Young ||95 ||-0.0312065 ||0.126316 |
|Texas A&M ||263 ||-0.0324083 ||0.178707 |
|NC State ||141 ||-0.0339116 ||0.141844 |
|Oklahoma State ||216 ||-0.0348851 ||0.12963 |
|Duke ||110 ||-0.0352329 ||0.1 |
|Kansas ||131 ||-0.0377946 ||0.0992366 |
|Ole Miss ||212 ||-0.0456101 ||0.141509 |
|Memphis ||31 ||-0.0468624 ||0.0967742 |
|Arizona ||160 ||-0.0468774 ||0.1125 |
|UCF ||70 ||-0.0470138 ||0.0857143 |
|West Virginia ||164 ||-0.0473924 ||0.109756 |
|Colorado State ||50 ||-0.0588619 ||0.06 |
|Houston ||70 ||-0.0594461 ||0.0714286 |
|Kansas State ||114 ||-0.0608208 ||0.0877193 |
|Baylor ||137 ||-0.0617023 ||0.0948905 |
|Minnesota ||125 ||-0.0622246 ||0.08 |
|Syracuse ||82 ||-0.0624295 ||0.0731707 |
|Cincinnati ||64 ||-0.0660395 ||0.0625 |
|Mississippi State ||193 ||-0.0663839 ||0.108808 |
|Tulsa ||41 ||-0.0664076 ||0.0731707 |
|East Carolina ||33 ||-0.0709117 ||0.0606061 |
|Colorado ||171 ||-0.0768549 ||0.0818713 |
|Tulane ||44 ||-0.077419 ||0.0454545 |
|Kentucky ||107 ||-0.0825436 ||0.0747664 |
|Washington State ||107 ||-0.0857713 ||0.0560748 |
|Marshall ||48 ||-0.08875 ||0.0416667 |
|Iowa State ||95 ||-0.0955231 ||0.0421053 |
|Hawaii ||36 ||-0.109805 ||0.0277778 |
|Southern Miss ||62 ||-0.115323 ||0.0322581 |
And we can officially use this data to confirm that Texas is not back. Meanwhile, attending Ohio State provides a whopping 10% percentage point increase (i.e. +10%) in a prospect's chance to make the NFL.
Edit: Thanks for all the feedback and discussion! Really made me and u/cweethrowaway758
happy. There were some requests for data so here are our two datasets in TSV format.
NFL players: https://i.fluffy.cc/VdXJT2rxSFQQfQS5QHhc3f6GC3csT264.tsv
Schema: Name, Position(s), Start Year, End Year
HS recruits: https://i.fluffy.cc/rdX2nzmVhxf11hFLblbppXcZWL6qVWPF.tsv
Schema: Name, Position(s), Overall Recruit Ranking, 247Sports Composite Score
What are your thoughts on affirmative action being re-implemented? Here's an account from a non-underrepresented-minority who still got screwed by the system but still wouldn't fit UC's proposed racial quota when pitted against someone from a "rarer" race.
submitted by RichMoneyBeast to berkeley [link] [comments]
I'm conflicted. While I am partial to voting "no" this November should it be on the ballot, I have seen for myself what life is like for those who grew up in poverty (which tend to be underrepresented minorities like blacks and Latin people) and had to settle for crap high schools. I'm not sure if placing quotas based on race would solve the problem, since there are other "races" such as myself who was deprived of resources. I do, however, empathize with those who grew up with a fucked-up system holding me back. My name is RichMoneyBeast, and this is my experience of going to a shit high school.
As an Asian-American who grew up middle class but went to a well-known magnet elementary school, culminated to a reputably-ghetto middle school, and graduated to a high school notorious for fraud, fights, a racial killing, and riots, I've experienced what it's like to have the drive of going to an elite university with the lack of resources achieving that goal.
Let me start. Since, my freshman year of high school, I obsessed over getting admitted to UC Berkeley's EECS and UCLA's computer science & engineering by planning for four years of maximizing all AP classes available, taking CC classes to maximize my weighted UC GPA for sophomore and junior year, and trying different activities. I saw that the average GPA for both programs hovered around the 4.3-4.4 range (this was back in 2013), so the drive to straight A's was burning. Getting the A's was the easy part (until junior year; more on that later). I worked until 4am on some homework assignments for geometry while I saw my classmates barely passing by, coming into the classroom faded and outright disrespecting teachers (e.g., one time a student in freshman geography got an apple from teacher's fruit bowl and rubbed it on the crotch area of his basketball shorts, the class in unison calling the teacher "Little Dick," a student impersonating a teacher's speech impediment from a stroke in front of his face). The school felt like the ghetto side of Twitter. As the only person who put effort in these ghetto classes, I was scared for my safety. I felt like a minnow in a pool of sharks. There would be a routine smoke bomb in the restroom, the fume of marijuana dispersing in buildings, and even gang-affiliated fights. As a matter of fact, not giving a shit about school was cool. Many of you come from competitive high schools–which include but are not limited to–Bay Area, Beach City, and prep schools. You know how many of your classmates strived to get 5's on AP Exams? At my school, I was the only one in my graduating class besides a middle-class white girl to earn a 4 on AP Bio (2014). I was not surrounded by students whose parents had the means to provide them with a plethora of Barron's AP test prep. They hardly saw the incentive to work hard, since there's hardly an environment to influence them: go to school, be on your phone in class, kick it with friends. We didn't even have proper funding for SAT prep. The only remote thing to it was an English teacher volunteering his Saturdays to read from the official College Board test-prep book. No strategies. Literally just read the questions and leave students to work on them quietly like a bad GSI. Nevertheless, I performed well my 10th grade year having a 4.4 weighted GPA and being pleased with my bio AP score. I also was volunteering at the library that summer, so I felt like I had momentum going for me.
Enter 11th grade (grade-fraud teacher). I joined the debate team with the coach of the program being my AP Lang teacher. She had an abnormal obsession with UCLA, rocking Bruin swag in the classroom (even wore a UCLA Santa hat in December) and putting down USC. With the savvy of playing politics, she was able to become buddies the admins, who allowed her to teach mostly honors and AP students (i.e., not ghetto, but cooperative and submissive). She was excited to have me on the team, because other students claimed that I was hard worker and they thought I was "smart." (sorry if that comes off as cocky.) As the semester passed by, I found myself unable to keep up with debate, since my A-G classes were priority for the UC GPA. The tough was going for other students as well. Like me, many of them asked to be excused from the competitions. It got to the point where she got so frustrated in class that she screamed like a pig, ripped the Post-It sheet of our brainstorming ideas, and LEFT. It was so loud her neighboring teacher on the other side of the bungalow came in to check on us. We just sat in class until the bell rang. She also wasn't the best English teacher, since she put her all-in to debate. In 9th grade, for example (yup, had her back then too), she stopped inputting points onto the online grading portal. Sketch, I thought, but I ended up with an A, so I didn't bother challenging her or thinking this would foreshadow her whimsical grading system two years later. That same year, she gave my upperclassman classmate an A in AP Lang for selling chocolates for her debate team's fundraiser. Going back to junior year, she wasn't happy with me not reaching expectations of bringing the team the gold, despite me doing all the assignments and going to all but one competition. Based on the point system on the syllabus, I should have gotten an A. At the end of the semester, we had a final in-class essay for AP Lang. It was argumentative; the prompt was to write about why competition is good. I wrote about the advancement of technology from Cold War and gave my points, evidence, and explanations like the AP Lang exam wanted. I came up to her after school to ask for my final-semester grade. She asked me, "what do you think you deserve?" "An A," I said, thinking about all the essays I turned in on time done correctly. She read my final paper, and wholeheartedly disagreed with her liberal viewpoints. She said "no. no. no," and told me that I can't get an A. She literally based my grade on one final in-class writing. I, along with many other students, know she didn't grade our papers. We had no grade reports, JupiterGrades was nonexistent, and the signed parent signatures "for points" laid at the same table for the rest of the school year. Four weeks later: C in debate, B in AP Lang. I felt crushed. I My competitive GPA was ruined. I didn't even bother thinking of applying to colleges anymore. I lost the drive for school and was clinically-depressed until community college.
Enter a fucked-up system. This wasn't the only case. As the years, went on, admin was caught purposely changing grades to benefit students. One audit found that football players were constantly absent and earned straight A's. That same teacher who screwed me was approached by a disgruntled student one year later, asking her, "Why do I have an F [on the 5-week]? I did all the work." She gave some non-answer with her typical attitude. He got mad, and pushed her to the ground. My friend who was a passerby saw her screaming to another student for help, and offering to give him points LMAO. Karma was catching up I guess. The same year. I enrolled in a 3rd-year foreign language course to be competitive for UC (no honors option). Guess what? School budget was low, so I we were merged with the same class as [foreign language] speakers 1. Ultimately, the class was cancelled and I was moved to digital imaging. Great, so now I can't even take a 3rd year of foreign language, and the school stopped teaching the AP version of the class a long time ago. Ah, maybe there's hope with AP Calc BC! Nope. It has never been taught, since there aren't enough students to enroll in the class.
Enter the conclusion. While I am Asian-American and grew up with a roof over my head and food on the table, I certainly was not in an optimal environment that paved me a Berkeley-bound path. I exhausted my high school resources, and they fired back at me. I was surrounded by peers who championed academic neglect. I was born Asian. If admissions were going to pit me against some underrepresented minority who easily had the resources to succeed at some fancy beach-city high school who got the same C and B as me, I know they'd have implicit biased, asking "why did this asian kid get a C? Must be lazy..." That's not fair, UC. While I do understand that there is a need for more diversity to improve our campus environment, I personally do not think discriminating on race is the way to go. Look what the CS department has done in the last few years. It has increased the enrollment of women many-fold without the need for quotas. What UC needs to do improve its outreach programs and incentivize driven people from underrepresented groups to apply. I'll tell you right now, people from these groups at my high school thought about USC and UCLA. I've never heard a black guy dreaming of going to Berkeley. I personally think the problem is how the school brands itself. While I certainly don't want Berkeley's student body to be homogenous, I think we should approach the diversity problem from another perspective. These recently-proposed changes (abolish SAT, affirmative action) are dangerous if implemented with haste.
People of berkeley
, what are your thoughts on affirmative action?
EDIT 1 (6/9/20 @ 1:01pm): To clarify, I'm a student here at Berkeley. I chose the community college with more resources and better transfer rates than the one closer to home. I learned my lesson from high school. I applied to only UCLA and UC Berkeley, got into both, and chose Berkeley, so GO BEARS!
Australian Football Across the USA and beyond
submitted by BarrishUSAFL to sports [link] [comments]
As the AFL returns to play this weekend, audiences in the USA and around the world will get another opportunity to see Australian Rules football live on major TV channels.
The hope is that the "lull" in other sports, as well as the high visiblity of the games on these channels, will help grow attention worldwide, and bolster the grass roots programs that have been thriving around the world for the last couple of decades.
As you can tell from my flair and handle, I am involved with the United States Australian Football League, which has been around since 1997. The USAFL currently has 46 clubs
from across the country and more than 2000 athletes. While the league began with Australian expats and American players who grew up with the game on ESPN in the 1980’s, more than 70% of the league’s players are now American-born and raised. Of the 46 clubs, more than half of them have women’s programs, which is an arm of the sport that is growing rapidly with the AFLW pathway in place.
In addition to the regular season, the league hosts three regional tournaments and a National Championships
that have been broadcast on ESPN3 each of the last two years. The USAFL Nationals are the largest tournament for the sport anywhere in the world, eclipsing anything even in Australia.
If you’re in the US, and watching the game of Australian Football on TV has you interested in being involved closer to home, go to USAFL.com
and check out our social media outlets
. We also have a YouTube Channel
and an affiliated TV show
with games and highlights over the last decade or so. I also host a weekly podcast
where we talk to players, umpires, coaches, and other folks around the league to get their stories on how they started playing “footy” and about the clubs themselves, among other things.
North of the border, AFL Canada
has more than thirty clubs from coast to coast in a handful of regional leagues. AFL Ontario
is the largest and oldest of these leagues, having been founded in 1989. AFL Europe
and AFL Asia
each have their own structures and tournaments, with the Euro and Asian Cups drawing a great many teams and crowds each year. South Africa has had a long history of Aussie Rules development, and teams in Bogota, Colombia and Santiago, Chile lead the way in establishing the game in South America.
While there is no world championship a la, say, the FIFA World Cup, the AFL International Cup
is a triennial tournament held in Australia that attracts the best players from outside Australia in what is the only truly global tournament for the sport. The first tournament was held in 2002, and the women’s division was added in 2011. PNG is the most successful men’s team, having been in six straight Grand Finals, winning three. On the women’s side, Ireland and Canada have squared off in all three women’s title games so far, with the Irish taking two from three. This year’s tournament, which was scheduled for the Sunshine Coast in August, has been postponed to July/August 2021.
A total of 154 players in the VFL/AFL have been born overseas. The UK, with 64, has the most, many of them playing in the league’s first half-century or so. There are currently 14 foreign-born players in the AFL, Ireland leading the active player count with four. Everyone knows about Dallas native Mason Cox, and Canada has Andrew McGrath, who moved to Australia as a kid and grew up playing the game. A total of four Americans have played in the AFL – only Cox and Jason Holmes were born and raised Americans to American parents. Canada has had two AFLers – McGrath and Mike Pyke, a rugby-convert who famously won a premiership with the Sydney Swans in 2012.
The pathway and the newer nature of AFL Women’s makes it easier for players overseas to break into that league. Eighteen AFLW players hail from Ireland, all of them Gaelic football converts. The USA boasts of one AFLW participant, Danielle Marshall of the Western Bulldogs. Dani is the first American, male or female, to come up through the USAFL program and play top-grade Aussie Rules, having spent two seasons with the Arizona Hawks.
My thanks to the sports
crew for helping to promote the great game of Aussie Rules overseas. Please leave a comment below if you have any questions or would like to get involved locally, no matter where you are in the world.
UAH saved, but now what? (A hypothetical extreme realignment scenario)
submitted by jdchambo to collegehockey [link] [comments]
As noted in the press release resurrecting #STANHORSIES from the grave, one of the conditions for the program continuing beyond the 2020-21 season is the fact that UAH needs to find a conference for 2021 and beyond. The issue being that as the status quo currently stands, that's very unlikely to happen. And at the same time, you have the Alaskas in the same situation, while new program LIU also needs a home. (And ASU too, for the sake of completeness). So, here's one radical possible lineup, assuming the NCAA could simply dictate conference alignments somehow. For these purposes, let's assume no new programs are added beyond those reported to actively be considering DI membership (Navy, St Thomas, Illinois): East West
- NEC begins sponsoring hockey, resulting in full members Merrimack, Robert Morris, and Sacred Heart departing their current conferences; NEC adds Army, Navy, and RIT as affiliate members
- WCHA adds the Colorado schools and Arizona State
- NCHC replaces CC/DU with Bowling Green and Notre Dame
- Big Ten adds Illinois, otherwise does nothing
- Atlantic Hockey adds UAH to replace the departed members
- CCHA adds St Thomas to replace BGSU as a charter member
- Hockey East does nothing to replace Merrimack
- ECAC wins by doing absolutely nothing
Now, the various leagues and the new members could probably live with these changes:
- Atlantic Hockey might be adding a trip to Alabama, but they no longer have the Colorado Springs trip on the schedule either. And while it would save even more to not add UAH and remain strictly Northeast based, having UAH as a member does allow for extra guarenteed games, as their neighbor conferences are likely to remain at 22-24 conference games themselves with these configurations.
- ECAC is obviously unaffected regardless
- Most Hockey East fans want Merrimack gone to begin with; plus they don't add much from a media standpoint given HEA already has five other teams in the Boston TV market, and a 10 team line up alleviates scheduling headaches. And with a 24 game schedule, conference opponents would play 6 teams 3x a season instead of only 4, eveninging out strength of schedule imbalances and also minimizing the number of seasons where teams do not play everyone else both home and away at least once. (Alternatively, HEA could return to the pre 2013 27 game schedule, but given scheduling trends elsewhere, that would seem to be unlikely, especially if the conference wants to be able to accommodate future re-expansion)
- The NEC snags itself an automatic bid to the NCAA tournament, and AIC's recent run notwithstanding contains the teams who had been at the top half of Atlantic Hockey in the last decade. In addition, the smaller conference size enables a schedule that allows for more OOC matchups, and NEC Front Row's lack of paywall means that more fans can watch games, which can help put eyeballs on the league
- Losing Notre Dame wouldn't exactly be great for the Big Ten, but they'd be adding Illinois to remain at 7 teams and would at least have full control over the media rights for all conference games.
- Dropping BGSU and adding St Thomas would compact the CCHA footprint even further (consider that Bowling Green is closer to UAH than it is to any of the Minnesota schools, for instance).
- Losing DU puts a major dent in the NCHC's reputation as (arguably) the top hockey conference, but adding BGSU and ND compactifies the travel footprint (a recurring complaint, especially by Miami/Western MI) while ND's presence gives the league additional leverage in negotiating favorable media deals
- Frankly, DU and CC are the biggest losers here, as the quality of competition takes a nosedive by joining a league with the Alaskas and Air Force (who might be good by Atlantic Hockey standards, but not exactly a preennial top 20 team). On the other hand, Air Force at least has a brand name attached, and ASU also being in the conference means that the group can not only save on overall travel even with the Alaskas in tow, but can also bank on the collective brand of the non-Alaska schools. In addition, a 6 team league means that there are plenty of OOC games to use on playing the top teams from the other conferences, somewhat counterbalancing the weaker in-conference slate.
So, it coulllllld
work. But is any of this realistic? I mean, maybe the NEC deciding they want to do hockey and taking the better AHA teams with them is a distinct possibility. But overall, not really.
And that's essentially the point here. Because there is no mechanism to force a team to join a particular conference (outside of a team's all sports conference suddenly sponsoring the sport; and even then, usually everyone involved is onboard with such an outcome since the conferences are the schools). And there's no real incentive for Merrimack to depart Hockey East voluntarily, or for Notre Dame to leave the Big Ten (at least, not at present), or especially for DU or CC to leave the NCHC for an objectively weaker league, even if it is geographically better. It's the same reason Western and Miami don't leave the NCHC, Miami's coach's complaints aside. And while BGSU isn't the worst possible add the NCHC could make, there's no pressing reason to add them over someone else either. And while Air Force and Army/Navy are not tied at the hip to the degree most people assume, Air Force also isn't going to separate from the other academies for a league that's not an improvement over the current Atlantic Hockey.
The issue boils down to this: a radical realignment like this isn't going to happen. Nor is it going to be the case that UAH will get into a conference given the current status quo. Essentially, that leaves two options:
1) The first is that the WCHA manages to add 3 additional members. Assuming none of these are St Thomas or Arizona State (and there's not really any reason to assume either would be interested in the current WCHA), that will require 3 additional programs to suddenly pop up. The main issue being that this still doesn't solve the issue imposed by having to travel to Alaska x2 on the budget. Even with travel subsidies (which may be at risk due to chronic funding issues in the Final Frontier), that's money that can go towards improving the program's foundation.
2) The second is that a bunch of Southern programs suddenly add hockey, enough to sustain a new Southern hockey conference. This seems to be even less likely to occur, at least in time to rescue UAH. For starters, this essentially requires 5 new programs instead of "only" 3. The obvious issue with both of these being that ADs are in the process of cutting sports due to funding issues introduced by the pandemic. With hockey being one of the most expensive sports out there, no one is going to add the sport without a massive donation specifically for hockey.
But then, that last part is true even under the best of circumstances. And while the Chargers have been the standard bearer for Southern college hockey for decades, no one else has made serious moves to add the sport. High Point included it as part of their long term planning recently, but who knows how the pandemic changes that. And that's still only one institution. And the whole "Georgia is building a 5500 seat rink for their hockey team" thing has been massively overblown; it is a 5500 seat multipurpose venue being built/renovated by the city of Athens. While it is capable of hosting the Ice Dawgs, it is not being primarily built with the hockey team in mind, nor has anyone to date stepped up to make the necessary investment to elevate UGA hockey to varsity. Their big money donors are for the most part focused on the football team's success. Such an arena makes it easier to make the jump later, but there's no indication that they're even giving it serious consideration yet. (Also consider that the SECHC is an ACHA Division 3 league, meaning that even the club team is essentially being treated with the minimum possible investment).
So in terms of Southern teams, that leaves Liberty, who almost certainly won't elevate without a conference already in place, and no current league will take them. (I doubt even the remaining WCHA schools are that desperate, since travel from Alaska to Virginia is even more expensive than the current state of affairs. And for that matter, Liberty probably sees the Alaskas as beneath them given their attitude towards just about everything else). And Lindenwood could charitably be classified as "Southern", but a) they're suffering from funding issues and b) there's apparently sufficient ambiguity in NCAA bylaws that may prevent them from playing up, as has nixed other attempts by DII institutions to field teams recently (Minnesota-Moorehead, Simon Fraser for instance were told that DII teams cannot play up without joining DI fully, even though the bylaws also clearly state that DII teams can compete as DI teams in sports without a DII championship).
So the simple fact of the matter is that while there is clearly community support for UAH hockey, we may very well be looking at their swan song this upcoming season barring an insane investment in college hockey teams in the wake of the financial issues caused by COVID-19 related shutdowns, because it seems highly unlikely that they will be able to resolve the conference situation by the imposed deadline. To say nothing of the 5 year funding plan.
Another "what should I do about my job/should I go back to school" counseling session if anybody's got the stomach for it. Small town version.
submitted by SmallTownsBigEnnui to slatestarcodex [link] [comments]
I feel a little sheepish doing this, especially on a day when this is not the most important thing for SSC to be thinking about, but everybody was really nice about commenting on throe_aweigh_
. Maybe we need a sticky thread just for these. I'm a long-time SSC reader and occasional commenter, but using a new account and some generic descriptors for the same reasons as u/throe_aweigh_
. My post is also ridiculously long but I've bulleted it for skimming.
I'm especially interested in this community's thoughts on some of the problems I think about re: smaller metro areas. The discussion here generally leads me to believe most folks are in major cities or aren't particularly connected to any particular geographic location. Background on me:
Fast forward to today
- Early 30s, single.
- Currently employed as a local government official in Little City (pop: ~40,000)
- I make a good salary and it goes a long way here.
- Little City is a mildly depressed post-industrial town with largely blue-collar population
- I studied politics and philosophy, did well but didn't really know how to study, and got into several good Political Theory PhD programs after undergrad.
- Didn’t end up going. An undergrad professor, for whom I am eternally grateful, helped me realize I was young and confused about life, wasn't ready for PhD work, and that there are exactly 0 jobs in theory.
- I also realized I’m a big “roots” and “community” person. I wanted to contribute to my "Polis" and preferably stay in it. I’m willing to go away for a while, but want to grow old here. This is not compatible with becoming an academic in a crowded field.
- So instead, I got my masters in a more practical subfield from Nearby Public University and made great regional connections.
- NPU is a flagship state school with a strong national brand in a town 40 minutes away from Little City.
- I went to work for a state agency and then for Little City government, which I didn't mind at first.
- I worked hard and moved up quickly to my current position.
- I bought a beautiful house (they’re so cheap here), have lots of close friends (mostly married now), can drive over to NPU for football games.
- Thoroughly enjoyed my 20’s, A++ would make the same decision again.
What are my goals?
- My job is fine but boring and increasingly demoralizing
- I read theory books and SSC-type stuff for fun and try to find people to talk to about them.
- It's very hard to make real change from my current position. I think we’re doing good work, but mostly just keeping the machine running. My boss has done an impressive job building a competent organization, often in spite of the elected officials.
- Speaking of whom... Local politics in Little City are in a precarious balance and listing in the wrong direction IMHO. We have weak candidate pools, uncontested elections, and the great post-industrial community disease of blaming external scapegoats for unsustainable decisions and lack of internal leadership. But as a neutral bureaucrat, I’m limited in my ability to speak out on this.
- Given the level I'm at and age of people above me, there’s not a lot of opportunity to move up further. I would also need to become better at a lot of things that I’m not that interested in (e.g. finance and project management).
- Was contacted about taking Same Job in Bigger City but don’t love the idea of moving every few years and am honestly not even that interested in the changes to my job that working for a bigger city would involve.
- I'm also feeling stagnant in life. I have a good life, but not much purpose beyond work.
- Love my family, friends, and some things I'm involved in.
- My job pays well and gives me long-term stability but not sure what use that is. I don’t have any expensive hobbies. Not interested in buying brand new $50,000 SUV's or boats like other people who do well for themselves here.
- It would be cool to travel more, but I have limited vacation time - generally just enough to see the out of state family and friends I want to see each year.
- I always thought I’d have a family by this point - the mindset I got from my working-class upbringing was: “go to college, work hard, save money for a house and kids.” But I don’t love kids and the dating scene here is not great. My last serious partner was affiliated with NPU but went to Impressive Ivy League School. Partner thought my small town thing was very cute, but also wanted to blow.this.shithole., and was frustrated that I didn't also want to "grow up and move to suburb of Major US City." I did, in fact, live in Major US City for a brief time after college and hated it.
- Maybe a better version of myself would just keep my head down at work and make money to donate to TB research or some local charity, but I’m not sure I’m that version yet. Feel free to tell me I should be.
- Once a year for the last few years I’ve taught an adjunct course in my old department at my alma mater Nearby Public University
- It's become the best part of the year
- My courses have gotten great reviews
Going back to school
- Personal Fulfillment
- I’m interested in being challenged, having a more flexible schedule, doing more teaching, writing, lecturing, getting involved in local politics (maybe run for town council - a part-time gig), having time and institutional freedom to be involved in more local boards and organizations, etc. I want to be able to make a difference where I am while being connected (maybe through writing or consulting) to the larger world.
- Having done well at "work hard towards a future unspecified goal," now I'm going through: "I guess this was the goal?" If I don't want to buy a boat or an expensive truck and don't have time to travel, what am I working for? What do I actually enjoy? I've slipped in and out of depression for the last few years trying to answer this question as I've struggled to remain interested in things I used to enjoy.
- Working towards improving Little City. I struggle a lot with what this community needs. It feels full of potential, but also stagnant and directionless.
- I’m most familiar with what’s good for it politically and would like to articulate that, but can’t from this position. Also that's not a "job" in a small town. And I think the mindset change needed here goes deeper than what can be communicated through politics. To clarify, I'm talking about local politics. I'm not interested at all in national politics.
- The problems I care about feel more “spiritual” almost. Loss of community, lack of care by the people who either abandon the community or are cynical about it. Scapegoating external forces for their internal problems.
- The influence of churches here is huge - both positive and negative. I was raised fundamentalist Pentecostal. I’m comfortable with the language and psychology of religion and have analyzed it to death. In another era I would have been a priest or pastor without question - that’s really what I’m cut out for. I still go to a liberal mainline church, but the congregation is aging and in my experience liberal Christianity is much less capable of influencing people. My beliefs are too weak and open-ended for an ideological church. I swing back and forth between wondering if church has outlived its usefulness and thinking that religion is a deep part of being human and rationalists desperately need to create a version of it.
- A lot could be accomplished by civic-minded businesses that actually had some serious cash flow. Sometimes I think the best thing I could possibly do for Little City is start a business making as much money as possible and start reinvesting in downtown, hiring people, etc.
- I have some business acumen, but not a lot. I doubt I’d make it as an entrepreneur and there aren’t many big businesses left in town that I could move up through the ranks in.
- I think I would be too idealistic to be successful enough to make a real difference.
- This is another thing I’m really passionate about, but not sure what to do about it. We don’t have a university in town. NPU is 40 minutes away. There's a community college that I think I would enjoy teaching at.
- I want liberal arts education for ordinary citizens - folks with average academic ability and a future in blue collar work. I’m old fashioned and think democracy relies on it. I see it in local politics - just having a few really broad-minded ordinary people injecting themselves into the conversation can dramatically alter that conversation.
- I want to get foremen at the local factories excited about virtue ethics and poetry. I want liberal arts to be a vehicle for enriching the life of our town, not making its best high school students feel like they have to move to NYC to be a success.
- Why am I thinking about this?
- Mostly for fun, honestly. I loved both my undergrad and grad school classes, loved everything about being at school, and love teaching now. When I think about "what would I do instead of buying a truck" it's "go to school."
- Partly to create some space for myself to reassess my life, think about Little City and my relationship to it, meet some different people, have some interesting experiences, etc. I could have a more flexible schedule again for a few years, travel a bit, and feel like I’m working towards something.
- Maybe it could add a credential that would move me towards making a difference in one of the areas listed above.
- I’m a good test taker: 169 Verbal, 168 Quant on the GRE. I've written some lengthy government reports but nothing peer-reviewed and was a Fulbright Scholar also. I'm loyal to NPU, but sort of curious to see what I'm capable of at another school.
- Where am I thinking about going?
- I've considered going to seminary and possibly becoming a mainline clergyman. I’m empathetic, extroverted, and a good speaker and story-teller. I went through a major faith crisis and gained some experience in working through theological questions. But I’m not sure how influential this platform can be. And as mentioned, after years of trying to read and understand my faith, my creedal beliefs are tenuous at best.
- PhD - there are a couple of ways to skin this cat:
- Go away for a while to Top Ranked Institution: go all out and apply to 5 or so of the best schools in the country. If I get in, I could get to actually meet and work with some of the scholars whose books I am obsessed with. It would be incredibly difficult and a lot of work but I sort of want that. It might add some pizazz to my brand if I wanted to do consulting or something more independent in the work world. It would give me even more credibility locally if I wanted to do something educational (e.g. try to get the local community college or NPU to hire me). But it would also mean leaving here for four or more years and potentially losing touch with the things that I want to come back to here.
- Or I could get PhD from my department at Nearby Public University. NPU has a PhD program in a subfield related to my job. I know everybody there and already teach in the department. NPU is highly-ranked but this program isn’t. I could easily get in and get funding and they’ve told me they would make the program very flexible for me. It would let me stay in my house, keep my connections in town, etc. I could probably continue working part-time for the City. This option is cheap, practical (it's a no-brainer to family members), and would be a relatively painless way to get a doctorate. But it's also uninspiring. It doesn’t give me any new experiences. I already have an MA from this department and have taken courses from all the professors I think highly of there. While they’re good scholars, none of them are particularly groundbreaking intellects and I’m sort of familiar with their shticks already.
- Try to get into Oxford/Cambridge for second Master’s
- I hear these are not actually great places to do graduate work from an academic perspective
- But high prestige to non-academic audience, similar effect on my “brand" here locally.
- This is the highest “fun” option if my main motivation is fun. I get to play dress up and hang out around 800 year-old cathedrals, take trips around Europe, meet really interesting people, etc.
- It's also potentially the most expensive option. I can afford it, but might settle for a one year masters or something. There is also a distance research doctorate at Oxford for professionals in my field that looks like it would be very difficult to get into. But it's cheaper and only requires you to be on-site for a month or two every year - perfect for me.
- Law School
- It's one of the few professional skills that would make me employable locally plus a decent intersection with what I do now and the possibility of getting more active in local politics.
- I crushed a practice LSAT (again, good test-taker) and could probably get into a decent school. Not super excited about developing a mental illness, though.
- The debt burden would be huge and I don’t want to have to work for Corporate Firm in Major US City to pay my dues.
- Does this town really need more lawyers? Probably not.
There's where I'm at, folks. Feel free to say I'm just selfish or delusional or trapped in a narrow way of thinking. I've wondered about all these things myself, so I'd rather hear it straight.
Attention Juniors: How to Create a College List
submitted by theadmissionsangle to ApplyingToCollege [link] [comments]
If you’re wrapping up your junior year, you’re probably giving thought to creating a college list. Maybe you’ve had a dream school in mind for years. Maybe this is the first time it has come up. But in any case, creating a college list can be tricky. In this article, we will outline a strategic and personal approach for you to follow. Doing so will help give you options down the line when deciding where to matriculate. This advice is not for everyone, as we are aware that our Reach-heavy strategy comes with a lot of rejection. In addition, some people have to weigh financial aid more heavily than others. I'll be the first to admit that some of our advice here sounds like it's coming from a Tiger Mom, but we do try to be practical. I think there's a little something here for everyone and hope the information is useful.
Last week I talked about a College Essay Timeline
, and step 1 in the process is creating your preliminary college list.
Strategy for Creating a College List
While many resources will tell you to apply to only six schools
, The Admissions Angle approach to college lists is “high and wide”. We encourage students to reach for the stars on several of their choices while applying to as many schools as your time and means allow for. The reasoning behind this is simple. It is impossible to predict the exact metrics a college is using to admit students year to year, and it is impossible to know how you may or may not fit into their scheme. Every admissions officer is different, and just because you don’t get into one reach school does not mean you will not get into any reach school.
In the past, we’ve worked with students who gain admissions to multiple Ivy League colleges, but are rejected from UC Berkeley. Why? The student clearly possessed something that the Ivies were interested in that UC was not. To an extent, college admissions is a numbers game, so the more places you apply, the better your chances of getting into at least one. Plus, you only apply to colleges once in your life. Why leave any stone unturned?
Unfortunately, this strategy means that rejection is inevitable. The more schools you apply to, the more rejections you will receive. It helps to accept this truth early on in the process. Rejections are difficult and can warp our senses of self worth. Try not to let this happen. If you do your due diligence, you will get into a solid school that is a good fit for you.
How Many Schools Should I Apply to? Dream schools (Choose 1-2):
This is the school that you put on the list so that you don’t have regrets later in life. However, try to be somewhat reasonable. If your dream school is Stanford but you have a 3.0 GPA and a 1000 SAT, then it’s definitely not worth writing all of those essays for a chance that is effectively zero. However, if your baseline GPA and scores fall within the acceptable range (think 25th percentile), take your shot! After all, it would be a dream if you got in. Reach schools (Choose 4-6):
These are schools in which you should possess a less than 25%
chance of getting in. We advise applying to as many reach schools as you have time for, because as we said before, you may have the exact qualities that a particular admissions officer is looking for. Give it a try! The more reach schools you apply to, the better your odds are of gaining admissions to at least one– and one is all you need. Target schools (Choose 3-4):
These schools are colleges where you possess a 25-75% chance of getting in based on your scores and grades. If you are looking at the school’s admissions portfolio and thinking “that sounds like me,” then that school is a target. You don’t need to apply to loads of target schools if you have assessed them properly and determined that these are the schools you’re most likely to choose if not accepted to any reach schools. . Safety schools (Choose 2-3):
As with target schools, you don’t need to apply to too many safety schools if they are, indeed, safeties. These should be schools where you have an 75% or better chance of getting in. When you look at the profiles for these schools, your profile should fall at the high end of what they look for. You only need a couple because you’ll get in anyways (in addition to some of your target schools and maybe a reach). If you have extra energy and want to keep applying, go for another reach, not another safety.
Where Do I Start?
The first step for creating a college list is to start big, with a list of 10-20 schools. Consider any schools that have piqued your interest based on recommendations, research, and location. There are many tools
that exist to help students match with certain schools based on their interests, as well. In this step, write down the name of every school that has ever appealed to you, even if you don’t think you’ll get in.
Second, engage in heavy research. Go through each school on your list and make sure that it possesses each of the qualities you are looking for. More on that in the next section.
Personal Factors for Creating a College List
Now that you know how many colleges to aim for, let’s return to your big list and begin to narrow it. This part is quite complex, as each student is completely different in the factors that they’re considering for their undergraduate experience. This section will discuss the important items to research. As you are engaging in research, take notes– this information will be important when you write your essays. Prestige or School Rank
Whether you agree with it or not, having a degree from a top-ranked university will help with your job prospects or ability to get accepted to a graduate program. Top universities don’t necessarily provide the best education, but they do provide the best perception of having received the best education.
Having an Ivy League+ degree undoubtedly opens doors that otherwise would not even be on your radar. If your goals are ambitious – let’s say you want to be a Supreme Court Justice, you will have a difficult time making this come true if you don’t attend either Harvard or Yale Law Schools. All nine current justices graduated from either of these institutions. Now, this doesn’t mean that you have to attend these schools as an undergrad, but your undergraduate degree will have an influence on your ability to get accepted to one of these law schools.
For most students who don’t have such high ambition, there’s still an advantage to attending a top college, especially if you are in a humanities program. For STEM programs, this advice is not quite as convincing, as success in finding a job after graduation can be still quite high. The reward for choosing a dramatically cheaper undergraduate education can be well worth the cost of prestige for those entering the STEM field. Location and weather
Do you want to stay close to home, or do you want to move across the country? Are you looking for an urban environment or someplace more pastoral? How important to you is weather? Could you live without the snow? Could you live with
Let the location of a school influence your list, but don’t let it limit your research too much. You might not think Texas is the place for you, but have you ever looked at the Rice campus? It’s gorgeous. Think about your comfort, but also think about your opportunities. If a vibrant theater scene is important to you, then will you be happy somewhere remote?
For target and safety schools, I’d say that location is the most important factor to keep in mind. The first, most obvious Beyond just the ranking of a school’s program, I’d also strongly consider the job market of the local area. Beyond the top 40 schools, geographic location relative to the job market you want to eventually join is a huge factor in determining how successful you will be. For example, do you know which university has the most number of graduates working in the Silicon Valley? San Jose State University. Think about it. When companies are looking to hire, it’s easiest to first look around at the talent closest to them and SJSU happens to be right smack in the middle of Silicon Valley. Major or academic program
What’s your intended major? Or, if you don’t know exactly what you want to study, what are you leaning towards? Some schools are more competitive for certain subjects than others, so knowing what major to apply for can make a big difference.
A good way to consider this question is to google “name of school + undergraduate admission statistics.” Sometimes, a chart like this one
will pop up. Carnegie Mellon is a great college for this example because it ranks #25 overall
for undergraduate admissions, but ranks #5 for business and #6 for undergraduate engineering. Nationally, it ranks #2 in computer science. Consider what this means for admissions. Overall, Carnegie Mellon admits only 7% of students who apply to the School of Computer Science, but 24% and 26% to the College of Humanities and Information Systems, respectively. What does this mean for your admissions? Essentially, if you really want the Carnegie Mellon experience, then consider applying to a less competitive program. If you have your heart set on a top ranking computer science program, then treat the Carnegie Mellon program as a “dream/reach” slot on your list and proceed accordingly. Extracurricular activities and student life
Are there certain extracurricular activities that are important to you? This question is helpful not only for making your college list, but also for applications. In the Why Us essay, the college asks “Why do you want to attend our school?” If you are an a capella aficionado, then choosing a school that offers a lot of a capella opportunities can be powerful material. If you’re looking for undergraduate business incubators, there are a handful of schools that have significant resources at your disposal. Make sure to research the student organizations and opportunities available to undergraduate students. Athletics
Do you want to be a college athlete and compete competitively for the college? What division will you consider? If you don’t want to participate competitively, do you want to play in a specific intramural or club sport? Having a good idea of what you are looking for in college athletics will help you narrow down your list, and help you know which coaches to write to.
On the other hand, maybe you are a passionate spectator. Is it important to you to attend a school with a big football or basketball culture? This reasoning should probably not be the primary focus of your application materials (which should lean heavily academic). But peppering in some examples of your fandom couldn’t hurt. Religious affiliation
Do you want to attend a college with a religious affiliation? You don’t have to be religious to attend a college with a religious affiliation. However, if the affiliation is important to you, then looking for such colleges will significantly narrow your list. Consider that religious colleges may have specific requirements
, such as attending certain religious classes as a graduation requirement or a stricter code of conduct. Student body size
Do you want to go to a college that is the size of your high school or the size of a city? Or, somewhere in the middle? Remember that the size of a school is not necessarily indicative of the student:professor ratio. Many large colleges still keep this proportion reasonable, which is good information for your essays. However, the size of a school can definitely impact the vibe.
For minorities, keep in mind that larger schools will usually have more diversity than smaller schools. If it’s important to you to surround yourself with people with similar backgrounds to you, then definitely keep in mind the size and location of the student body. Resources
Is there some other factor that you require on a college campus? Maybe you want a cutting edge gym facility, or excellent career opportunities. Maybe you’re looking for the best internship or undergraduate research opportunities. Or maybe you need a school that is equipped to accommodate a disability or specific dietary need. Whatever it is, make sure to include it in your preliminary research! It would be terrible to be halfway through the application process before realizing that a school is unviable for you.
Finances and your college list
Finances can be the top determinant of choosing where to apply to college. When creating a college list, it is important to have state school options, and to think about financial aid from the start.
First, we recommend calculating your Estimated Family Contribution (EFC)
to see how much colleges will be expecting you to pay. This tool will also help you know how much aid you are eligible for.
Second, educate yourself on need-blind vs. need-aware admissions
. Need-blind means that a school will not look at your financial situation when considering you for admissions. Need-aware means that they will. This is a vast oversimplification of this distinction, so it is worth investigating. But the simple truth is this: whether or not you need financial aid can impact your admissions chances. Students willing to pay full-price will have an easier time gaining admission than those looking for aid. Should this stop you from applying? No. Should it help you develop a realistic outlook on your odds? Yes.
Plan to diversify your schools based on cost, as well as the above factors. Doing so should give you options down the line.
(Side note: At the time of writing this, coronavirus is expected to impact financial aid in the coming years. As colleges continue to lose revenue, they will be looking to admit even more full-price students than before. If this describes you, then consider expanding your college list to include more dream and reach schools.
As you plan your college list, consider that getting a head start is more important than ever before. Once the fall semester has started, grades will be critically important, as will extracurricular activities. The more you can do now to prepare yourself, beginning with a college list, the better off you’ll be.
The best thing you can do for yourself is find an adult you trust to guide you through this process. That person may be a parent, a counselor, or a mentor, but anyone to help hold you accountable and offer support will be helpful. If you have a strong support system and the will to prepare, you will go far! Good luck!
The 276 Questions to Answer Before Getting Married
submitted by Delicious-Scholar to FemaleDatingStrategy [link] [comments]
Hi FDS Community,
I originally came across this exhaustive list on Quora, though I’m sure it’s from elsewhere. It’s a list of 276 questions that should be asked to and answered by your partner before settling into the ultimate commitment. The idea is to thoroughly vet your partner for compatibility before meshing your lives. I’ve learned over the years that compatibility and chemistry are to totally different things, and while both are needed, I would say compatibility should be weighted more.
I do think some of these questions are invasive/personal, but it’s your
life. And choosing your partner for a life commitment is one of the most important decisions you’ll ever make. At least that’s what I’ve heard.
- Are you working in your chosen field?
- How many hours a week do you work?
- What does your job entail? (For examp le, do you often travel for business, work at home, performs dangerous tasks?)
- What is your dream job?
- Have you ever been called a workaholic?
- What is your retirement plan? What do you plan to do when you stop working?
- Have you ever been fired?
- Have you ever quit a job suddenly? Have you changed jobs a lot?
- Do you consider your work a career or just a job?
- Has your work ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
- If you could live anywhere in the world, where would it be?
- Do you prefer urban, suburban, or rural settings?
- Is it important to have your own private home, or do you prefer apartment or condo living, with a management company responsible for the maintenance? Are you a do-it yourselfer, or would you rather hire professionals? Do you prefer to clean your own home or hire a housekeeper?
- Do you think of your home as a cocoon, or is your door always open? What do you need to feel energized and inspired in your home?
- Is quiet important in your home, or do you prefer having music or some background noise most of the time? Is it important to have a TV in the bedroom? Living room? Kitchen? Do you like to sleep with the TV or radio on?
- How important is it for you to have a space in your home that is yours alone?
- Have differences about home style ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
- If you had unlimited resources, how would you live?
- How important is it for you to make a lot of money?
- What is your annual income?
- Do you pay alimony or child support?
22 Do you believe in prenuptial agreements? Under what circumstances?
- Do you believe in establishing a family budget?
- Should individuals within a marriage have separate bank accounts in addition to joint accounts? Do you feel that bills should be divided based on a percentage of each person’s salary?
- Who should handle the finances in your family?
- Do you have significant debts?
- Do you gamble?
- Did you have a paying job when you were in high school? Before high school?
- Have you ever been called cheap or stingy?
- Do you believe that a certain amount of money should be set aside for pleasure, even if you�re on a tight budget?
- Have you ever used money as a way of controlling a relationship? Has anyone ever tried to control you with money?
- Has money ever been a factor for you in the breakup of a relationship?
- Have you ever felt deeply insecure in a relationship? Were you able to name your fear?
- When was the first time you felt that you were in love with another person? What happened in that relationship, and how have you come to terms with it?
- What is the longest relationship you have ever had prior to this one? Why did it end, and what lesson did you learn?
- Have you ever been married? If so, are you divorced or widowed? How do you think you handled the loss?
- If you have a current partner, do they know of behaviors that you exhibited in your previous relationship that you�re not proud of?
- Do you believe that past relationships should be left in the past and not talked about in your current relationship?
- Do you tend to judge current partners on past relationships?
- Have you ever sought marriage counseling? What did the experience teach you?
- Do you have children from previous marriages or non-marital relationships? What is your relationship with them? How do you see your relationship with them in the future?
- Have you ever been engaged to be married but didn�t go through with the wedding?
- Have you ever had a live-in partner? Why did you choose to live together instead of marrying? What did your experience teach you about the importance of marriage and about commitment?
- Do you harbor fears that the person you love might reject you or fail out of love with you?
- What sexual activities do you enjoy the most? Are there specific sexual acts that make you uncomfortable? Be specific! This is no time to hedge.
- Do you feel comfortable initiating sex? If yes, why? If no, why?
- What do you need in order to be in the mood for sex?
- Have you ever been sexually abused or assaulted?
- What was the attitude toward sex in your family? Was it talked about? Who taught you about sex?
- Do you use sex to self-medicate? If something upsets you, do you use sex to try and help you feel better?
- Have you ever felt forced to have sex to �keep the peace�? Have you ever forced someone or been told that you forced someone to have sex with you to �keep the peace�?
- Is sexual fidelity an absolute necessity in a good marriage?
- Do you enjoy viewing pornography?
- How often do you need or expect sex?
- Have you ever a sexual relationship with a person of the same sex?
- Has sexual dissatisfaction ever been a factor for you in the breakup of a relationship?
- How would you describe the current state of your health?
- Have you ever had a serious illness? Have you ever had surgery?
- Do you believe it is a sacred responsibility to take care of yourself? Do you believe that taking care of your physical and mental health is a part of honoring your marriage vows?
- Are there genetic diseases in your family or a history of cancer, heart disease, or chronic illness?
- Do you have health insurance? Dental insurance?
- Do you belong to a gym? If so, how much time do you spend at the gym every week?
- Do you play sports or take exercise classes?
- Have you ever been in a physically or emotionally abusive relationship?
- Have you ever suffered from an eating disorder?
- Have you ever been in a serious accident?
- Do you take medication?
- Have you ever had a sexually transmitted disease?
P.. Have you ever been treated for a mental disorder?
- Do you see a therapist?
- Do you smoke, or have you ever smoked?
- Do you consider yourself an addictive personality, and have you ever suffered from an addiction? Have you ever been told you have an addiction problem, even though you might disagree?
- How much alcohol do you drink every week?
- Do you use recreational drugs?
- Do you have a medical problem that impacts your ability to have a satisfying sex life (for example, erectile dysfunction, premature ejaculation, vaginal dryness, drug/alcohol addiction, etc)?
- Have any of these health problems ever been a factor for you in the breakup of a relationship?
- How important is it that you always look your best?
- How important is your spouse�s appearance? Do you have strong preferences about being with a particular physical �type�?
- Are there cosmetic procedures that you regularly undergo?
- Is weight control important to you? Is your spouse�s weight important to you? What would your reaction be if your partner were to gain a significant amount of weight?
- How much money do you spend on clothing every year?
- Do you worry about getting old? Do you worry about losing your looks?
- What do you like and dislike about your appearance? When you were a child, were you often complimented or shamed about your looks?
- What would your reaction be if your spouse lost a limb? A breast? How would you handle this loss?
- Do you feel that you can have good chemistry with someone who is moderately physically attractive to you, or is a strong physical attraction necessary? Has physical appearance or �chemistry� ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
- Do you want children? When? How many? Are you unable to have children?
- Would you feel unfulfilled if you were unable to have children?
- Who is responsible for birth control? What would you do if there were an accidental pregnancy before you planned to have children?
- What is your view of fertility treatments? Adoption? Would you adopt if you were unable to have a child naturally?
- What is your view of abortion? Should a husband have an equal say in whether his wife has an abortion? Have you ever had an abortion?
- Have you ever given birth to a child or fathered a child who was put up for adoption?
- How important is it to you that your children are raised near your extended family?
- Do you believe that a good mother will want to breast-feed her baby? Do you believe a mother or father should stay at home with a child during the first six months of life? The first year? Longer?
- Do you believe in spanking a child? What type of discipline do you believe in (time-out, standing in the corner, taking away privileges, etc.)?
- Do you believe that children have rights? Do you feel that a child�s opinion should be considered when making family and life decisions, such as moving or changing schools?
- Do you believe that children should be raised with some religious or spiritual foundation?
- Should boys be treated the same as girls? Should they have the same rules for conduct? Should you have the same expectations for their sexual behavior?
- Would you put your teenage daughter on birth control if you knew that she was sexually active?
- How would you handle it if you didn�t like your child�s friends?
- Would you put your teenage daughter on birth control if you knew that she was sexually active?
- How would you handle it if you didn’t like your child’s friends?
- In a blended family; should birth parents be in charge of making decisions for their own children?
- Would you ever consider getting a vasectomy or having your tubes tied? Do you believe it�s your choice, or does your partner have a say?
- Have differences concerning conception or child-raising ever been a factor for you in the breakup of a relationship?
- Are you close to your family?
- Are you or have you ever been alienated from your family?
- Do you have a difficult time setting limits with family?
- Have you identified the childhood wound that may have sabotaged your relationships in the past�the deeply imprinted fear that made you want to escape? How were you most hurt in your family; and who hurt you?
- How important is it that you and your partner be on good terms with each other�s families?
- How did your parents settle conflicts when you were a child? Do people in your family carry long-term grudges?
- How much influence do your parents still have over your decisions?
- Have unresolved or ongoing family issues ever been a factor for you in the breakup of a relationship?
- Do you have a �best friend�?
- Do you see a close friend or friends at least once a week? Do you speak to any of your friends on the phone every day?
- Are your friendships as Important to you as your life partner is?
- If your friends need you, are you there for them?
- Is it important to you for your partner to accept and like your friends?
- Is it important that you and your partner have friends in common?
- Do you have a difficult time setting limits with friends?
- Has a partner ever been responsible for breaking up a friendship? Have friends ever been a factor for you in the breakup of a relationship?
- Are you an animal lover?
- Do you have a dog, cat, or other beloved pet?
- Is your attitude �Love me, love my dog [cat; potbellied pig]?�
- Have you ever been physically aggressive with an animal? Have you deliberately hurt an animal?
- Do you believe a person should give up his or her pet if it interferes with the relationship?
- Do you consider pets members of your family?
- Have you ever been jealous of a partner�s relationship with a pet?
- Have disagreements about pets ever been a factor for you in the breakup of a relationship?
- Do you consider yourself liberal, moderate, or conservatives, or do you reject political labels? What was the attitude in your family about political involvement and social action?
- Do you belong to a political party? Are you actively involved?
- Did you vote in the last presidential election? Congressional election? Local election?
- Do you believe that two people of differing political ideologies can have a successful marriage?
- Do you believe that the political system is skewed against people of color, poor people, and the disenfranchised?
- Which political issues do you care about? (For example, equality national security, privacy, the environment, the budget; women�s rights, gay rights, human rights, etc.).
- Has politics ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
- Is it important for you to be involved in your local community?
- Do you like having a close relationship with your neighbors? For example, would you give a neighbor a spare key to your home?
- Do you regularly participate in community projects?
- Do you believe that good fences make good neighbors?
- Have you ever had a serious dispute with a neighbor?
- Do you take pains to be considerate of your neighbors (for example, keeping a lid on loud music, barking dogs, etc.)?
- How important is it to you to contribute time or money to charity?
- Which kind of charities do you like to support? How much of your annual income do you donate to charity?
- Do you feel that it is the responsibility of the �haves� of the world to help the �have-nots�?
- Have attitudes about charitable contributions ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
- Have you served in the military?
- Have your parents or other relatives served in the military?
- Would you want your children to serve in the military?
- Do you personally identify more with a nonviolent approach, or with making change through military force and action?
- Has military service or attitudes about military service ever been a factor for you in the breakup of a relationship?
- Do you consider yourself a law-abiding person?
- Have you ever committed a crime? If yes, what was it?
- Have you ever been arrested? If yes, for what?
- Have you ever been in jail? If yes, why?
- Have you ever been involved in a legal action or lawsuit? If yes, what were the circumstances?
- Have you ever been the victim of a violent crime? If yes, describe what happened.
- Do you believe it�s important to be rigorously honest when you pay taxes?
- Have you ever failed to pay child support? If so, why?
- Have legal or criminal issues ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
- Where do you get your news (for example, TV news programs, radio, newspapers, newsmagazines, the Internet, friends)?
- Do you believe what you read and see in the news, or do you question where information is coming from and what the true agenda is?
- Do you seek out media with diverse perspectives on the news?
- Have media differences ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
- Do you believe in God? What does that mean to you?
- Do you have a current religious affiliation? Is it a big part of your life?
- When you were growing up, did your family belong to a church, synagogue, temple, or mosque?
- Do you currently practice a different religion from the one in which you were raised?
- Do you believe in life after death?
- Does your religion impose any behavioral restrictions (dietary, social, familial, sexual) that would affect your partner?
- Do you consider yourself a religious person? A spiritual person?
- Do you engage in spiritual practices outside of organized religion?
- How important is it to you for your partner to share your religious beliefs?
- How important is it to you for your children to be raised in your religion?
- Is spirituality a part of your daily life and practice?
- Has religion or spiritual practice ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
- Does popular culture have an important impact on your life?
- Do you spend time reading about, watching, or discussing actors, musicians, models, or other celebrities?
- Do you think most celebrities have a better, more exciting life than you do? (By the way, if they do, maybe it’s because they are living their lives, while you are watching them live their lives. Are you wasting the opportunity and gift to live your own life?)
- Do you regularly go to the movies, or do you prefer to rent movies and watch them at home?
- What is your favorite style of music?
- Do you attend concerts featuring your favorite musicians?
- Do you enjoy going to museums or art shows?
- Do you like to dance?
- Do you like to watch TV for entertainment?
- Have attitudes or behaviors around popular culture ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
- What is your idea of a fun day?
- Do you have a hobby that�s important to you?
- Do you enjoy spectator sports?
- Are certain seasons off-limits for other activities because of football, baseball, basketball, or other sports?
- What activities do you enjoy that don�t involve your partner? How important is it to you that you and your partner enjoy the same leisure activities?
- How much money do you regularly spend on leisure activities?
- Do you enjoy activities that might make your partner uncomfortable, such as hanging out in bars drinking, going to strip clubs, or gambling?
- Have leisure time issues ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
- Do you enjoy entertaining, or do you worry that you�ll do something wrong or people won�t have a good time?
- Is it important for you to attend social events regularly, or does the prospect rarely appeal to you?
- Do you look forward to at least one night out every week, or do you prefer to enjoy yourself at home?
- Does your work involve attending social functions? If so, are these occasions a burden or a pleasure? Do you expect your spouse to be present, or do you prefer that your spouse not be present?
- Do you socialize primarily with people from work, or with people from the same ethnic/racial/religious/ socioeconomic background? Or do you socialize with a diverse mix of people?
- Are you usually the �life of the party,” or do you dislike being singled out for attention?
- Have you or a partner ever had an argument caused by one or the other�s behavior at a social function?
- Have differences about socializing ever been a factor for you in the breakup of a relationship?
HOLIDAY AND BIRTHDAYS
- Which (if any holidays do you believe are the most important to celebrate?
- Do you maintain a family tradition around certain holidays?
- How important are birthday celebrations to you? Anniversaries?
- Have differences about holidays/birthdays ever been a factor for you in the breakup of a relationship?
TRAVEL / VACATIONS
- Do you enjoy traveling, or are you a homebody?
- Are vacation getaways an important part of your yearly planning?
- How much of your annual income do you designate for vacation and travel expenses?
- Do you have favorite vacation destinations? Do you believe it’s wasteful to spend money on vacations to distant places?
- Do you think it’s important to have a passport? To speak a foreign language?
- Have disputes about travel and vacation ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
- What is your level of formal education? Is your education a source of pride or shame?
- Do you regularly sign up for courses that interest you, or enroll in advanced-learning programs that will help you in your career or profession?
- Do you think that college graduates are smarter than people who didn�t attend college? Have disparities in education ever been a source of tension for you in a relationship, or ended a relationship?
- How do you feel about private school education for children? Do you have a limit on how much you would be willing to invest in private school education?
- Have education levels or priorities ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
- Do you own or lease a car? Would you ever consider not having a car?
- Is the year, make, and model of the car you drive important to you? Is your car your �castle�?
- Are fuel efficiency and environmental protection factors when you choose a car?
- Given the availability of reliable public transportation, would you prefer not to drive a car at all?
- How much time do you spend maintaining and caring for your vehicle? Are you reluctant to let others drive your car?
- How long is your daily commute? Is it by bus, train, car, or carpool?
- Do you consider yourself a good driver? Have you ever received a speeding ticket?
- Have cars or driving ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
- How much time do you spend on the phone every day?
- Do you have a cell phone? A BlackBerry?
- Do you belong to any Internet chat groups? Do you spend significant time each day writing c-mails?
- Do you have an unlisted telephone number? If yes, why?
- Do you consider yourself a communicator or a private person?
- What are the circumstances under which you would not answer the telephone, cell phone, or BlackBerry?
- Has modem communication ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
- Do you like to eat most of your meals sitting at the table, or do you tend to eat on the run?
- Do you love to cook? Do you love to eat? 232. When you were growing up, was it important that everybody be present for dinner?
- Do you follow a specific diet regimen that limits your food choices? Do you expect others in your household to adhere to certain dietary restrictions?
- In your family is food ever used as a bribe or a proof of love?
- Has eating ever been a source of shame for you?
- Have eating and food ever been a source of tension and stress in a relationship? Have they ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
- Are there household responsibilities you believe to be the sole domain of a man or a woman? Why do you believe this?
- Do you believe that marriages are stronger if a woman defers to her husband in most areas? Do you need to feel either in control or taken care of?
- How important is equality in a marriage? Define what you mean by �equality.�
- Do you believe that roles in your family should be filled by the person best equipped for the job, even if it is an unconventional arrangement?
- How did your family view the roles of girls and boys, men and women? In your family; could anyone do any job as long as it got done well?
- Have different ideas about gender roles ever been a source of tension for you in a relationship, or the cause of a breakup?
RACE, ETHNICITY, AND DIFFERENCES
- What did you learn about race and ethnic differences as a child?
- Which of those beliefs from childhood do you still carry; and which have you shed?
- Does your work environment look more like the United Nations, or like a mirror of yourself? How about your personal life?
- How would you feel if your child dated someone of a different race or ethnicity? The same gender? How would you feel if he or she married this person?
- Are you aware of your own biases regarding race and ethnicity? What are they? Where did they come from? (We aren�t born biased, we learn it, and it�s important to trace where it was learned.)
- Have race, ethnicity, and differences ever been a source of tension and stress for you in a relationship?
- What were your family�s views of race, ethnicity, and difference?
- Is it important to you that your partner shares your vision of race, ethnicity, and difference?
- Have different ideas about race, ethnicity~ and difference ever been a factor in the breakup of a relationship?
LIVING EVERY DAY
- Would you consider yourself a morning person or a night person?
- Do you judge people who have a different waking and sleeping clock than you?
254 Are you a physically affectionate person?
- What is your favorite season of the year?
- When you disagree with your partner, do you tend to fight or withdraw?
- What is your idea of a fair division of labor in your household?
- Do you consider yourself an easygoing person, or are you most comfortable with a firm plan of action?
- How much sleep do you need every night?
- Do you like to be freshly showered and wearing clean clothes every day, even on weekends or vacations?
- What is your idea of perfect relaxation?
- What makes you really angry? What do you do when you�re really angry?
- What makes you most joyful? What do you do when you are joyful?
- What makes you most insecure? How do you handle your insecurities?
- What makes you most secure?
- Do you fight fair? How do you know?
- How do you celebrate when something great happens? How do you mourn when something tragic happens?
- What is your greatest limitation?
- What is your greatest strength?
- What most stands in the way of your creating a passionate and caring marriage?
- What do you need to do today to move toward making your dream marriage a reality?
- What makes you most afraid?
- What drains you of your joy and passion?
- What replenishes your mind, body, and spirit?
- What makes your heart smile in tough times?
- What makes you feel the most alive?
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